Quiet Atlantic. USAGI in the Pacific. 75th Anniversary of 1938 Long Island (New England) Hurricane ---Portrait of Jennie Movie
The odd part of this picture is that the front is draped where the front should be... but usually there is a hurricane moving WNW just north of PR towards South Florida or the Carolinas and the front is zooming down to pick up that hurricane and scoop it out to sea...
Happens all the time.
It's the way of the world every September, but not this September.
If I didn't know better I'd think El Nino was hiding in an invisible cape off to Stage Left, but everyone insists this is a Neutral Year. Then again... everyone insisted this would be an active hurricane season with "no mitigating factors" so obviously there was some mitigating factor the models didn't see.
Speaking of models...they have been really off... especially with development in the Bay of Campeche as Invest 95 didn't do anything other than rain itself out along the coast where everyone would have bet money it was going before the model debacle of the any which way it can but couldn't.
All eyes are on the Pacific where USAGI is being extremely photogenic and wowing the weather people on the satellite imagery. Every one's passing around pictures on Twitter.
Here's one that should wow you! Wowed me!
As for the Atlantic:
Not a lot going on... black and white water vapor loop here:
Discussion from the NHC below. Note the there is a link to a survey at the bottom of the NHC text.
Please take the survey. The information you give them is valuable to them and may help them redesign their site and keep you updated with the information you desire the most.
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL LOW CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA REMAIN MINIMAL. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...COULD TO OCCUR ON SUNDAY BEFORE IT BECOMES ABSORBED BY A LARGER FRONTAL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER BEVEN
Hard to say what will be with the rest of the season.
This season has been more about the Upper Level Lows and the Saharan Dust Clouds from Africa more than really big photogenic hurricanes spinning out in the Atlantic.
Keep watching. It's not over, but this is the peak of the season... prime season.. a day or two past the peak of the season.
This season is not playing out how the models had forecast. Makes you wonder on the models or why the models did not see this quiet season coming?
Be back tomorrow with more discussion. Meanwhile the stories from the flooding out West are horrific and tragic and we should be worrying about some hurricane missing the timing with the front and bothering some SE coast city...not watching and reading the stories about Colorado Flooding.
And, last but not least this is the anniversary of the 1938 New England Hurricane that was responsible for way over 700 deaths. Depending on how you look at it this storm was the Long Island Express or the one that took out Block Island or Rhode Island or basically any island in it's path with NO ..ZERO warning more than a few hours ..............and that was way after sailboats had gone out for the day and people had left for the beach.
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-201_162-57603990/great-new-england-hurricane-of-1938-remembered-on-75th-anniversary/ (quote below from this link.. please read)
"About 700 people died 75 years ago when the storm known variously as the Great New England Hurricane of 1938 or the Long Island Express began plowing up the Northeast coastline at 2:45 p.m. on Sept. 21, 1938"
Official link to the NWS site...
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For many this was the storm of a lifetime.
The iconic movie that many remember though at the time I doubt was the movie of the year Portrait of Jennie was based on that storm. Weather lovers everywhere seem to love this movie the way teens love Rocky Horror Picture Show.
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Add into that artists and writers love this movie as it reminds them what it is to be lost in a work and needing the right muse to make the work come together. To inspire the artist to use his talents the way he or she wishes they could.
To an artist... painter... a writer... there is nothing more valuable than their muse. Sometimes that muse is a place or a person or a song. Something that makes the writer or the painter suddenly link it all together and inspire them towards greatness. Sometimes the weather itself is a muse...
Perhaps in the same way that Sebastian Junger was inspired to write The Perfect Storm the storm itself was a muse to Robert Nathan the writer of Portrait of Jennie.
Robert Nathan was a cousin of Emma Lazarus whose work is carved into time forever on the Statue of Liberty.
And, now you know the rest of the story :)
Ps Read the book The Perfect Storm... good book, good movie. I got a yellow tee shirt that's probably on the top shelf of my closet.