Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Flooding Problem From Fay, Updates



Fay is festering over the same spot and if she does start moving she may not move north as she seems ready to move west as the high to her north pushes her back like a bouncing beach ball on a wet rainy day.

Massive flooding across the whole area. Tremendous beach erosion.
Not to mention problems with localized Twisters touching down.
Stay vigilant and stay safe if you live in the affected area.

This is one of my problems, we never seem to get this part of the forecast right. While forecasting on landfall and storm surge we seem to not play up the inland flooding as it gets left for the NWS to warn as conditions evolve. That's sort of too late to properly prepare both mentally and physically. I understand how fickle storms can be but we need to connect the two sets of warnings for landfall and for later. Especially with a forecast based on models that seemed a bit suspect (hitting Savannah as strong hurricane...) vs lingering and looping back over Florida where she exited.

You can keep up to date with info from some of these links:

Actual warning posted below as well.

National Guard is on the way.. by the way.

At lunch, just got back from the Beach where it's hot, beautiful and Fay has gone away. Our loss is someone else's misery, my prayers to all in her further path.

Radar... watch Fay spin:

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USFL0438&animate=true

Live Cam:

http://www.floridatoday.com/apps/pbcs.dll/section?category=cams02
(camera is a little wet for some reason.. maybe someone will clean it)


http://www.myfoxorlando.com/myfox/

Sewage problems, flooding in Brevard Co.

www.orlandosentinel.com


http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/weather/hurricane/orl-tropical-storm-fay-update-082008-7am,0,7478008.story?track=rss

http://www.wftv.com/index.html

Channel 9 News, good site for info on flooded areas.

video:

http://www.wftv.com/video/17236312/index.html

Palm Bay: http://www.topix.com/city/palm-bay-fl

http://www.floridatoday.com/apps/pbcs.dll/frontpage




Special Warning... as Fay stops moving north ...

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1236 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL ONLY VERY SLOWLY MOVE NORTH TODAY AND
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING RAINS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...BREVARD...INDIAN
RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR CAPE
CANAVERAL FLORIDA.






Tropical Storm Warning
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1236 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL ONLY VERY SLOWLY MOVE NORTH TODAY AND
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING RAINS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...BREVARD...INDIAN
RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR CAPE
CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FLZ047-054-059-141-147-211645-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
1236 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...EXTREME FLOODING EXPECTED FOR BREVARD COUNTY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY REMAINS ALONG THE BREVARD COUNTY COAST WITH ONLY
MINIMAL MOTION TO THE NORTH RIGHT ALONG THE COASTLINE. FAY IS
FORECAST TO TRACK RIGHT ALONG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE HEADING BACK WEST NEAR DAYTONA BEACH
THURSDAY MORNING. SINCE FAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO LAND IT NO LONGER
IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AND SHOULD STAY AT TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN SECTION OF
FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...
BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FAY CONTINUES TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT FOR ESPECIALLY
BREVARD COUNTY. HEAVY RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AROUND THE CENTER
OF FAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS ARE NOW ACROSS SOUTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY IN THE SAME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED EXCESSIVE
AMOUNTS OF RAIN OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.

RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 6 TO 10
INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE AREA...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS OVER 15
INCHES DURING THE PAST 48 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL
BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
REGION. MODERATE TO SEVERE FLOODING HAS OCCURRED ACROSS CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY.

RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS THROUGH 8 AM INCLUDE OVER 12 INCHES AT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE...13.37 INCHES AT FORT
PIERCE...13.83 IN STUART AND 21.70 INCHES IN NORTH MELBOURNE.

THE SLOW MOTION OF FAY WILL CAUSE VERY HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE TO
FALL ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY THROUGH AT LEAST
EARLY AFTERNOON. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAIN IN AFFECT THROUGH
430 PM FOR BREVARD COUNTY. NUMEROUS ROADWAYS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH
STANDING WATER WHICH ARE IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS. DRIVERS SHOULD
REMAIN OFF THE ROADS...AS TRAVEL IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE IN SOME
AREAS.

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