Dean Heads Into the Banana Wind, Cat 2 on way to Cat 4?

Dean goes cruising in the Caribbean, cruising and exploding as I type as it rushes into the Banana Wind and the land of Jamaica.

I just looked at an IR loop of Dean, just as he pulls dead center over the islands he turns dark, juicy red in the center and begins to feel the warm, very warm bathtub hot waters of the Caribbean. He is set to become a Category 4 by most estimates though we aren't sure the HWRF wasn't on expresso yesterday when it predicated Cat 5. Only Time Will Tell.......... Motto of any real tracker but time comes fast to a Hurricane cruising at top speeds of 24 mph forward speed.

The Ukmet pulls Dean temporarily to the right of forecasted track looking like it wants to do Port Au Prince and then changes his mind and swings more to the right again just sparing Jamaica. If the UKMET makes a Jamaica Mistaka... it won't be pretty for Jamaica. Most tracks have it going over or just below. The GFDL then picks up a more right side bias and pulls Dean further to the east in Texas than most other models. Then again the GFDL is supposed to be the Prince of Models right? King? We'll see.

Again.. only time will tell...





So.... I leave you with these two great links to models
http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picservice.asp?t=m&m=04
http://i.flhurricane.com/images/2007/clark4latest.png (wonderful Clark)

And... watch the loops... watch your favorite weather person (wish i had a link to Neil Frank covering this one in Houston) and pick your product and forecast because unless I am mistaken... Jamaica takes it dead on. IF I AM RIGHT... Dean goes to the north barely...




Personally, I have a lot going on so I will check back later but won't be around most of the day. My son Zalmy is having his Bar Mitzvah this weekend and I have various members of the family in from Brooklyn, Postville and elsewhere. Nice to have Shuky here during the hurricane season, my son Shuky reads a sat loop as good as any professional. Daughter Dina is darn good too. Not a weekend I need to deal with a tropical event in Florida. So... busy, happy having family in, happy to miss a Cat 4 and having chicken and yellow rice for dinner here and a buffett for 30, 40 or more tomorrow. A lot of Israeli Salads, Fake Crab Seafood Salad, Vegetable salads, deli, two crock pots full of cholent.. and then there is the after party Saturday night, Paintball Party weather permitting Sunday and something about Key West on Monday ;) (wipe that silly grin off your face Bobbi) lol. Oh Lord... what was I thinking having so many Leos. Zalmy was born during one of the strongest thunderstorms of the summer of 1994 in Mt. Sinai Hospital with the storm hovering over the east side of Biscayne Bay and the delivery room. It poured at his Bris. Can we miss tropical weather on his Bar Mitzvah? Only time will tell.......

Love you all and to the gang in the Weather Chat from HURRCITY... you're the best. As for Jim... best, best, best guy around. Really, what he attempts, achieves and puts up with on Hurricane City the man deserves an award, one of the greatest guys I know or have known ever. Great smile too. So...stay tuned, hang out at the City, watch the loops and listen to some great music while doing so. Have a beautiful weekend. IF you have a copy of Banana Wind somewhere... pop it in the CD, download to itube or to your iphone or ipod and use it as a musical soundtrack.

Chow for now.. Bobbi