The i Tells The Story - Hurricane Dean
This short little post is here to say two things, maybe three but that's for me and someone else to know.
1 The NHC doesn't like to upgrade an Atlantic storm to hurricane without good Recon but.... the EYE tells the story. An eye pops out a bit above 75mph winds so if you see an eye... it's probably a hurricane. Dean is.. Dean probably was earlier but when that pinpoint of red turned bigger... was a done deal for Dean.
2 NWS has been consistent with their building in of a ridge over Florida this weekend and as much as I do believe Dean will stay on right side of forecasted path I think Miami is probably safe from being destroyed by a Cat 4 hurricane at least with Dean. But... although we are breathing easier we ARE NOT OUT OF THE WOODS. I will quote Bill Kamal (who was a voice of clarity in Florida) you NEVER TURN YOUR BACK ON A HURRICANE TO THE SOUTH OF YOU. And... even though the high looks to build in, the upper level low might fill and Dean picks the one weekend a front is not moving down from the Midwest... we are not out of the woods and Dean is still far, far away. A lot can happen.
3 While the i may tell the story. Recon will write the manual.
Will be back later. Got to do the commute... nope, i don't forget :) wish i could...
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