Mr Fernand Has Arrived. 90L Upgraded. 99L Dreams of the Caribbean and Gulf (Maybe) Andrew & Katrina Memories

 

Fernand formed from 90L that was intiated after 99L so I guess it's true 2nd place tries harder? Seriously though it has a Cone that currently sails up into the Ocean a sort of Deja Vu Erin wanna be, but few are like Erin. I imagine we will have the name Fernand around for years to come at this rate. 

Moving on....

Invest 99L has 40% chances.

Some models like it now.

Irony as they didn't like it.... 

....now some do.

Should 99L survive...

...and thrive

It could be a hurricane to reckon with...

...more on that tomorrow.

So let's put this in motion....

Everything feels like it's on slow mode...

Slow motion.

The front is slicing slowly towards the coast.

Fernand is that blob in the Atlantic

Moving N with 40 MPH Winds.

99L is to the South of it.

Firing up convection.

Trying to close off a center.

A new wave emerges off of Africa. 

In Hurricane History News

We have 2 Canes competing for ATTN.

Andrew.... moved towards landfall

Tonight.... 8/23/1992

Andrew making it's move on Miami

Watching it hunkered down upstairs

an old 1920s Mini Mansion 

(was once upon a time....

...that has survived the 1925 Hurricane.

It survived Andrew....

...tho Andrew bobbled to the South 

just enough to spare Downtown Miami

Miami Beach

and slammed into South Dade

Homestead.

Palmetto

All of Miami felt like it had Andrew

And all of it did.

It's all a matter of degrees

and all the trees were bare... 

here there and everywhere

Had this poster on my wall forever...

Reminder

"worst case scenarios happen"

Remember that...

Look at that very tight eye wall...

eye.

strong cells slamming swirling around

Few slept that night.

The top two bands..top right.

When they slammed into our house.

The house shook, shuddered a bit.

House seriously vibrated.

Sounds were incredible.

Roar of the ocean off in the distance

... was heard between strong cells.

To the South...

I had a friend locked in her closet with her baby.

Husband, a best friend

Sat up all night with his back against the door.

I have a daughter-in-law who lived in Palmetto...

in a tub with a mattress over her & her mother.

Her father sitting against the door holding it.

As parts of the house blew away.

My son's girlfriend ...

her mother was pregnant with her

in the bathroom... 

..in the tub with a mattress.

Father holding door ...

..as the parts of the roof were ripping away.

Also in Palmetto

I say this repetitively...

...because if the house starts falling apart.

Yes... you go to the bathtub

with a mattress over you.

And you pray.

And records from 1926 Miami Hurricane

show.. ppl hid in the bathtub

blankets, mattresses whatever.

It's easy to say evacuate, not everyone can and not everyone will. Not everyone has to but a hurricane can go from Cat 1 to Cat 3 and then Cat 5 sometimes rapidly doing rapid intensification and suddenly you are dealing with a beast that was not kind like Erin and did not stay offshore and rearranged all the trees on your street, ripped huge ficus trees up out of the ground up and down my block on Miami Beach with their roots and parts of the grass hanging at odd angles like some monster from another planet crashed onto your block in the middle of Hurricane Andrew. A friend's neighbor's roof landed in her pool on Pine Tree Drive...whole roof just floating in her pool and all over the yard. 

The dark night of a Major Hurricane is like one run on sentence punctuated by transformers popping and things going slam in the middle of the night as they hit your house or rip the shingles from your roof and the sound of the hurricane moaning, screaming, howling. It's wild. Memorable. 

And to be honest we worried on water and storm surge and the house leaking and the house did not leak; there were few puddles even and the street was littered everywhere with signage from Arthur Godfrey Road a few blocks away and power was out for a long, long time. 

My friend holding the door shut to the closet in Kendall told me when we got together after, good thing you didn't come down to Kendall, no room in the closet for you and well ya ... Post Andrew get togethers comparing notes was a thing in 1992. Everyone had a story. 

And amazingly 13 years later to the day Hurricane Katrina formed off the East Coast of Florida and intensified as she moved towards our house in North Miami Beach on the mainland. But Katrina is a story for tomorrow.

The 2005 Cone for Katrina.

1st advisory

Jim Edds is a great storm chaser.

A good guy, a friend.

Love his post on X

Hurricanes Happen.

You can prepare.

You can evacaute.

You can hunker down.

But you need Hurricane Supplies.

You need a plan!

Get a plan!

Now while it's slow and quiet.

Worst case scenarios do come true.

It was a wild night 8/23/92

and a crazy morning 8/24/92

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather

This popular song...

...became of the songs

from Post Andrew's Landfall.