Updated 30% 9PM -GOM Pops Yellow. Possible Trouble Close in ...Home Grown From an Old Dangling Frontal Boundary. Will it be orange tomorrow?
NHC showing confidence here.
Will it be Orange tomorrow?
Mike has been doing Deja Vu images from the Facebook Time Machine that reminds you what you were talking about 3 years ago, 10 years ago or whatever year you went on Facebook first. 2019 we were looking at a similar set up with a system that formed in the GOM from a similar set up.
July 10th, 2019.
That became Barry.
Similar set up.
Prime time for Home Grown Trouble.
Icon and the EURO selling the same system.
See you Monday Morning.
Update info then.
This would be the D storm.
Danielle!
Stay tuned!
Keep if you didn't read the blog this morning.
All still relevant!
Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
* * * * *
8 AM Sunday Morning!
The NHC has weighed in this morning on the topic of close in development, along the GOM coastline at the base of a frontal boundary that has been dragging like it has a heavy anchor. Some models spin up something on the Atlantic side, others such as the EURO show something eventually forms in the GOM close in sliding around threatening Louisiana and Texas. It's early in this discussion so the main theme here today is to watch the area, know it can produce a storm if everything aligns properly and continue to put together your hurricane supplies as this is forecast to be a difficult hurricane season for us.
That's the EURO for this coming Saturday.
When the EURO talks they listen.
One way or the other something could develop.
Dark, murky orange rust colors is the High (hot horrible weather) pushing down... a bit of energy from the languishing trough gets pushed down into the very warm tropical waters of the Gulf of Mexico. On the east side of the trough you can see the pink colors in the green that brought heavy flooding rains to the Carolinas yesterday and last night. I woke up at 4 am to the heaviest rainstorm I've heard in ages as it just hovered over the 540 expressway North of Raleigh. Down in the bottom right is an upper level low that's fun to watch spin on water varpor imagery. They are fun to watch and can be game changers down the line.
The colorful sat below shows the waves.
Like the way they are firing up today.
Dust to the North.
Waves to the South.
We will talk about those waves eventually.
This is the bottom line here. You cannot have a front/trough draped across the SE and then the High Pressure builds in to the North kind of incubating it and the water is warm and friendly and we are overdo for tropical action so we must watch that area. The same way we watch any area that fits in line with climo and the models are pointing to trouble.
The tropics just don't heat up over night, everything has to fall into place for the really wild part of the Hurricane Season to begin. Just like a Broadway show doesn't just magically come together or a movie that takes like forever to make before it is edited and hits the theater. It takes good casting, a kick ass script, a good director, costumes, make up, props, music and all of that has to come together before the cameras start rolling. Often we have a bit of a dress rehearsal in the tropics that reminds people new to the area that it is indeed hurricane season. Trust me a dress rehearsal not in costume without any make up doesn't look anything like the way it does when the curtains go up and the stage lights turn on and the music begins to play.
Rome was not built in a day.
Neither is a hurricane season.
And, during this time of year we get glimpses into what could happen and where the dangerous action could go and we try our best to prepare you, warn you and give you the information you need to best decide if you should hunker down and ride out the storm or get out of town.
Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram
Restless, moody and going to be hitting the road again soon.
As I said recently the frontal boundary is the only game in town right now.
Nice song I heard a long time ago in person.
Enjoy.
Read the previous blog to learn about real hurricanes that unless you are a chaser you never want to see up front and personal.
Okay I owe you a happier song ;)
Hey Good Looking .........
posted by BobbiStorm @ 8:14 AM
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