Updated 3 PM - Now Invest 96L aka Carolina Blob Mentioned Earlier This Morning - Yellow Circle Off the Carolinas - Tropical Storm Bonnie Forms in Carib. Rainy Forecast for Carolinas, Florida. Leftovers From 95L in Texas.

96L being ...watched aka investigated!

Close in Carolina System 

So that happened a few minutes ago.

Wise actually. 

There's a small spin off the GA/SC coast.

Note NWS discussion...

....all in red as in recently changed from before.

A reminder weather changes in real time.

Something to watch.

Be aware the weather will be murky on those beaches.

Beautiful and stormy.

Check before you go to the beach.....

...and have a wonderful July 4th weekend!

Will update again if needed ....

* * * * * 

Note the top it says TS Bonnie!

Graphics haven't changed yet but it's official!

See.

Showing this graphic above as it tells the story that other's might not be aware of in that Bonnie tracks directly over a huge lake as it crosses into the Pacific and that will help it stay together and hit the Pacific in way better shape than it might have had it taken a different track. We callt his the Brown Ocean Effect, in that while it is "land" there is much water there and a tropical cyclone over water (be it swamp or lakes) maintains strength easily rather than had it tracked acoss hard land, hills or mountains. 

Note it's not over land very much.

Worth noting Jim Williams from www.hurricanecity.com fame said from the start this would crash into Central America and he's very good at calling such things early on. And, it did and it never wavered this has been a low rider from the start. We now have had a Pacific system cross over into the Atlantic Basin and this will be an Atlantic system crossing over into the Pacific. Interesting statistic for 2022 if you ask me. 

What else is happening ...you're wondering.

95L rained on Texas.

Off the coast of the Carolinas there's a blob.

And y'all know we do track blobs!

Mike is watching it, he watches close in.

He has it on the main page.

Nice glasses he's wearing!

Carolina Low has a nice shape.

The ULL to it's South is tickling it.

Yes, I said that.

Interesting ...

...click link at the bottom and see!

What else?

And the 2nd wave with low chances of development is in the Atlantic.

Looks fairly healthy for 10% yellow.

Not any real circulation .... 

... but interesting.

Islands are watching the rain.

Compare and contrast with Bonnie.

Otherwise I'm getting over what seems to be a mild case of Covid or whatever we call it these days after the trip to Atlanta. I feel much better today than yesterday so my husband and I have a license to chill over the July 4th Weekend; home together resting up, relaxing and recovering. You don't really travel these days or go to a large family wedding event without knowing you could catch it. Yet, several families we are close with in Raleigh were sick here as well with no wedding or traveling. My kids in Seattle were sick with it and it's the first time they actually got it. Pretty sure I had it after a trip to Miami last December, feels totally the same but different variant. Reminds me of that song, new wave, next wave it's still rock and roll to me.  I feel so much better today thankfully after a day of tea, soup, herbs, vitamin C and lots of tangerines and oranges.  Great trip really, beautiful wedding and a very, very nice trip home along the backroads on Tuesday. Bride and Groom keep testing negative as do many of the people, kind of random who gets it and who doesn't. Kind of like random rain (Mike used that phrase earlier regarding the Carolinas) but he's right, it's kind of random rain, summer storms and considering the last two weeks were hectic it's actually a good idea to rest up and relax, breathe, sleep and read. That Carolina Blob really looks way better than expected. I digress... 

Thanks for your patience. I'm back. If anything changes today I'll update, but currently we are set to have a quiet tropics for July 4th weekend with rain in all the regular places in the summertime when we have this sort of pattern. There are a lot of good movies out, go to the movies if your plans get rained otu! Stimulate the economy and shop! Or just hang out inside doing whatever you do inside ;)

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+12 click the link and see how the Upper Level Low tickles the Carolina Blob to it's North and convection flares up in bursts.

Besos BobbiStorm

Follow me @bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Twitter mostly weather

Instagram whatever.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5eAQa4MOGkE song link if it doesn't load?? Most people see the videos but sometimes someone complains so yeah... there you go.

Happy July 4th Weekend!

Ps Excuse any typos, will double check later cause I'm a bit under the weather but feeling good all in all!