Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Friday, June 24, 2022

Invest 94L at 60% Orange Now, Tracking Low into the Caribbean. Is Invest 95L Soon to Form Behind It? Wave Train Rolling....



60% for 94L at 8 AM


Models in unison on early track being Low.
Stays South.

I'm going to add that this track follows the track of the last few waves that I have pointed out here and on Twitter have made it to Trinidad vs the coast of South America. I also said on Twitter the next two could get further North near Barbados. The models are showing that. I don't think this wave is an anomaly as much as a pattern and the start of a very early Cape Verde season. You have spurts of energy there early and then it slows down and then the real problem waves come along but we are definitely way ahead of schedule CLIMO wise and otherwise. Regarding tracks shown above please remember they can extrapolate further West or pull North in future model runs. Depending on where 94L develops and how fast it develops will set it's course; keep in mind how well organized it is will be the key to how strong and threatening it could be.


Remember on Twitter there are some excellent tweets in Spanish and other languages that you can translate if you can't understand the language. The one above is a case in point. There are not one waves now but two healthy waves and another further in off of Africa. So the possibility of Invest 95L showing up soon enough is there! Remember when a lead wave goes low, often the wave developing behind it goes further to the North at some point.  The image below shows Africa and the actual wave train is extemely well developed for June 24th.  They are nicely spaced out as waves go and that gives each wave a bit more breathing room then when they race fast over taking eachother which inhibits development. Could happen down the road, but currently just pointing out this is not a one and done situation as we have to face the harsh reality that we have be crusing into Hurricane Season faster than expected further East than expected. It's worth noting that the forecasts for this season did show a fierce season and a busy one!



I'll update later when I get to where I'm going and we can see the afternoon models come in a bit. Take this to the bank and build up a supply now of hurricane supplies for riding out a hurricane and/or a plan for where you would go if you need to evacuate. Don't expect you can fly to Aunt Martha in Omaha without checking with her first as she may have booked a cruise or met a cute guy at BINGO and moved to Vegas to an adult living facility and rented her little home in Omaha out to someone else. Just saying... plan in advance not while on the road stuck in traffic inland trying to get a hotel room or figuring out which relative to drop in on.

Ready or not, the wave train has started and add in the "home grown" component and we have only just begun!

Besos BobbiStorm
Follow @bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram for real time discussion.
Twitter mostly weather and Instagram whatever.

Ps Remember ...depending on how far West it gets it can crash into Central America or lift up into the Gulf of Mexico so know where it goes down the road is the issue, but for now it's Westbound!



An oldie but a golie...








 

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home