Updated 11 PM NHC Now Forecasts Sebastien to be a Hurricane. .

Tropical Storm #Sebastien is stronger and now forecast to become a hurricane Thursday. It will not impact land. #scwx #ncwx pic.twitter.com/PW69IY3nfE

— Ed Piotrowski (@EdPiotrowski) November 21, 2019

Forecast to become a hurricane.

Check that out... Sebastien

Wrapping up, intensifying.

Impressive.

Have to see what the morning will bring...
Hurricane Sebastien?

Keep reading if you did not do so...
I'll update in the morning.



Just wanted to point out that Sebastien is cooking.
Out performing as some models said it might.
Impressive ball of convection there.
Closer to the center too.

Gotta give Cranky thanks.
I was watching "the hearings"
Ignoring the tropics.
Oh my gosh.. I Know.

So I took a look.
Wow.

@tropicalupdate impressive.. #Sebastien seems to be outperforming will NHC upgrade at 11 ? pic.twitter.com/RYR3S9RVSV

— BobbiStorm (@BobbiStorm) November 21, 2019

What if an eye popped out.

Just thinking out loud.

NHC might have to reconsider the situation.

What will NHC do at 11? #Sebastien pic.twitter.com/gjWvmrfeEb

— BobbiStorm (@BobbiStorm) November 21, 2019

May update at 11 if NHC upgrades.

But watching hearings.

Then the debates.

My dance card is filled tonight.

Peeking at Sebastian some too!

;)

Video with my thoughts on Sebastien.
Bit of a drama going on...
Sure somewhere met students are placing bets.
Hurricane? No Hurricane.

Midday look at #Sebastien trying to wrap a bit of convection closer to the center. Models like it. Could it flirt with Hurricane strength? Keep watching pic.twitter.com/fA2srMTv9y

— BobbiStorm (@BobbiStorm) November 20, 2019

11 AM Sebastien Update.

And a bonus, beautiful long loop.
Of our most recent No Name Coastal Low.
The road trip it took from the Gulf of Mexico..
..into the Atlantic.

#Mexico → #OBX → #Canada: From the Baja California Peninsula a week ago to the Canadian Maritimes today by way of the Outer Banks #noreaster over the weekend, and via morphs & mergers with other systems. pic.twitter.com/MGPQZR65jo

— Stu Ostro (@StuOstro) November 19, 2019

Awesome Loop.

Earlier discussion from NHC
Left the door open for intensification.
The door is still left over for further intensification.

5 AM Info below

**TROPICS CHECK** The only thing that's churning in the tropics right now is ABOVE the sea...Tropical Storm Sebastien. It's strengthened a little from overnight but continues to stay away from land through the end of the week. #tropics #Sebastien pic.twitter.com/j6TtI2Szpw

— Meredith Garofalo (@GarofaloWX) November 20, 2019

Good Tweet online.

Visual, track, intensity.

Using this graphic to show where it is....

...because it's closer to our world than it seems.

Convection Still displaced from Center.

Center close than Convection.

Warning: NSFW ... Not Suitable For #Weatherhounds!
The nekked swirl of #Sebastien as it cavorts over the open Atlantic. https://t.co/ooXOVD1uzF

— Chick Jacobs (@NCWeatherhound) November 20, 2019

Chick's tweet says it all.

Compare the naked center above with below.

This is why we use so many different presentations.

Visible shows the core...

IR makes it look hot and heavy.

Note the presence of COLD Clouds to the NW.

It's going to catch that frontal boundary.

Zoom away.

But questions remain on intensity.

Structurally it may change and ...

..some models show it reaching hurricane strength.

The NHC is aware of them but keeping it conservative.

This could change at 11 AM on their next advisory.

So if anything remarkable happens.

I will update.

It is what it is... a November system.

Looks kind of "cute" on the loop above.

Low level wave to the SE worth noting.

Just because.... it's there.

Going to ignore Sebastien today.

And possibly the hearings for a while.

Trying to figure somethings out.

Everything good.

Sun is shining today in Raleigh.

Bright lights on the golden trees...

...shining against a deep blue sky.

I'd say it doesn't get better than this but..

plenty of weather I like better.

Especially snow....

... or at the beach with a hurricane coming in.

It's just who I am.

Sweet Tropical Dreams,

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.

Ps... Yeah the Hurricane Season is slowly ending.

Officially probably did but hey Sebastien.

Could Tanya form in some tricky way?

Who knows...

...today I gotta get out and breathe.

Just breathe.