Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Monday, October 27, 2014

Hanna Forms in the SW Carib. Morning Visible Seals the Deal. Moving INLAND.

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Hanna forms in the SW Caribbean. Nothing like a morning visible image from the satellite with your cup of Joe to upgrade a tenacious Invest.

Small systems tend to spin up fast and this is about as small as it gets. As I pointed out last night if the invest continued to impress it would be upgraded fast from obsession to full blown crush.

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The above is an image of where we are at right now. Loop it and you will see the green blowing up ..flaring up... ebbing...flaring...pumping.

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Where's it going? Inland with a purpose.

Discussion from the NHC is plain, honest and spot on. Also, be aware that Hanna is doing just what she was forecast to do. Cross the Yucatan... linger on the coast and go inland. Good modeling for a slow forming system. Always good to know the models are handling things well.

"The main hazard associated with Hanna will be very heavy rainfall.
Hanna could produce 10 to 12 inches (250 to 300 mm) of rain, with
isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches (400 mm), across Honduras and
northern Nicaragua. These rains will likely produce flash flooding
and mud slides.

Since Hanna is so close to the coast and about to move inland, this
forecast advisory was sent a couple of hours earlier than usual to
expedite the release of forecast information.  An intermediate
advisory will be issued at 2 PM EDT, followed by a full advisory at
5 PM EDT, as scheduled.


INIT  27/1500Z 14.5N  83.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  28/0000Z 14.0N  83.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 24H  28/1200Z 13.3N  84.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 36H  29/0000Z...DISSIPATED

Forecaster Berg"

Jim Cantore posted it earlier before the discussion was written. Normally discussion is written with 11 AM advisories, however at 8AM they put out an Orange X so after seeing the morning visible they responsibly put out an advisory with discussion doing an immediate upgrade. Good going. 

And, that is that on Hanna.

A pic from way up above showing the whole picture.

And, despite being small may I emphasize that those are intense rain storms in areas prone to flooding. She may be small and not around very long... but she is worth being aware of if you have interests in the area.

Besos Bobbi

Enjoy...the always great Ray Charles... any song with my mother's name & the town of Savannah works for me. Old favorite...enjoy listening while you watch the loop.

"pouring water on a drowning man.... "  
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