Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Monday, August 17, 2009

Hurricane Bill At Midnight... Bottom Heavy and BIG



Though not a vampire, he is definitely BIG and definitely bottom heavy and something is not quite right in his core. Though he is a big, hunky sort of hurricane!

And, this is a good question for an expert and not sure the NHC has answers as they mentioned the following comments in their discussion.


"THERE ARE SOME EVIDENT ASYMMETRIES"

Then they go on to say later in the discussion...
"THERE ARE NO OBVIOUS REASONS TO PREVENT BILL FROM INTENSIFYING
FURTHER DURING THE SEVERAL DAYS."

Strange wording for them as... means none that they can find but they leave the door open to the possibility. And, go on to remind us that tropical forecasting is not a perfect science:

"PERHAPS THE ONLY LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE
FLUCTUATIONS WITHIN THE INNER CORE FOR WHICH THERE IS VIRTUALLY NO FORECAST SKILL"

A good discussion at the witching hour... read it for yourself ...though by morning there will be a new discussion, read that one as well.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/180233.shtml

My thoughts... I am going to sleep. Dolphins won! Thank God for NFL Field Pass ...

And...as for Bill, the only game in town tropically... let's see if he can close off that core and find the weakness in the ridge...

Besos Bobbi ;)


FORECAST SKILL.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home