85 MPH Hurricane Isaias Strengthening Moving Faster Towards Landfall. Expecting Intensification!! How High? Prepare Now! And Know "I" Storms Have A History of Flooding Far Inland to the North of Landfall. Remember Ida ???
11 AM Looking strong!
....it's just stronger now.
8 AM
80 MPH Hurriacne Isaias.
On the move and intensifying!
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Good morning! As I sip my Nespresso and look at loops after reading NHC discussion, comparing what we see with what may be in the models I try and think what to say that hasn't been said before. I suppose the most honest thing I can say is to ignore all the hype and ignore all the doubters. If you know Hurricane History as I do ...and I do.... you'd know that this is the most typical October Hurricane in the Gulf. You will hear all the buzz words "shear" and "approaching front" and "asymmetrical appearance" as well as "tornado threat" and "storm surge" and someone somewhere telling you "this isn't anything to worry on" because it's not Michael nor Melissa and it's an El Nino Year. Don't believe that person, err on the side of caution and prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Yes, it's an old saying and it's still around as it's the best advice anyone can give you.
In truth it's all the hyperbole is true and yet it's a distraction. Pay attention to the messages from the NHC, from your local NWS and your local favorite meteorologist who has never let you down and knows the dangers in your own town. Enjoy TWC if you watch it as well as Fox Weather and Weather Nation, they all provide excellent advice. After that follow those who you understand and who resonate with you be it Mike from Mike's Weather Page or Dabuh who speaks in rhymes and lyrics with a message many understand and take note of whoever helps you understand the dangers of the storm. And, yes ...even in an El Nino year, in a quiet hurricane season remember first hurricane this year will be a landfalling hurricane. Any hurricane moving steadily towards your town, your home, the place where you work is a dangerous hurricane.
Many here in North Carolina remember Floyd vividly. Just the name "Floyd" in some parts here is a visceral memory that jerks them alive every time they remember it's Hurricane Season. Floyd was that hurricane that swamped parts of North Carolina in 1999 creating the "Flood of the Century" in NC far inland in the river basins that have rich fertile farmland. Floyd drowned those towns and took out the farms after making landfall as a "weak" Cat 2 down some from the wild Category 4 it had been before landfall. And, getting weaker in wind speed and worse in flooding as the water just kept rising.
As a Miami girl living in the Carolinas I can remember the weak, wobbly Floyd in 1987 that was an October "weak" hurricane that threaded the Florida Keys moving NE up towards Miami. My toddler jumping up and down on my mother's open up sofa cut his forehead and my brother and I drove through the "height" of the storm to my doctor on South Beach who had an office in her house and she put stitches into his forehead. I remember the traffic lights swaying wildly in the tropical wind. While it trashed many areas along it's way up towards Miami it was no Irma, but you never know what will happen in a Hurricane. Not every hurricane is a Melissa nor a Mitch nor a Michael, but "I" storms have a history of doing quite a job be they Irma or Isaias of 2020. The last Isaias cost Five Billion Dollars, 12 people died and many lost power for days....and yet the name was not retired, though some argued it should have been.
Every hurricane has it's own inherent dangers. Do you have young children at home? Do you have an elderly family member living with you? Do you have dogs that need walking and some that are terrified of storms? Do you live near a river or the beach, are you in a flood zone? Do you know the hurricane history in the town you live in?? Do you know the escape route if the river rises and flooding begins? Should you hunker down and stay or leave if you live along the beach?
Lastly let's look at Ida a hurricane in late August that slammed into the same area that our 2026 Isaias has been threatening, all the media was down by the coastline covering it. And, then it moved up towards the Ohio River Valley and as a tropical depression deep inland it flooded the subways of New York and the highways of New Jersey and when all was said and done 92 people died in the United States across a wide area some very far from landfall. Everyone remembers where Camille made landfall, few remember it was responsible for horrific flooding way far up North in the Virginias.
So again, today as I did yesterday, look at the track beyond the landfall. Look at where your the flooding may be ....far from the Cone and remember if you live Up North you may be hosting remnants of Isaias after it's left the beautiful beach towns of the Gulf Coast. All this energy WILL go somewhere and as it' mixes it up with a frontal boundary and other weather influencers.... tornadoes are possible as well as (and I pray not) flooding up in Tennessee and the Carolinas...especially in the mountainous areas and foothills.
ISAIAS
I'll update later today around Noon. My concern is where is this going and what will it do once it gets inland and often the center of the depression goes one way and the dangerous rains create power ourages and flooding far to the East of the "cone" the NHC is tracking. So keep an eye on the NWS for your local area while covering the landfall of Isaias.
More to come... thanks for reading.
BobbiStorm
posted by BobbiStorm @ 5:28 AM
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