Atlantic Quiet. EPAC Heating Up. Heat is the Word of the Summer of 2026. Heat Wave. Heat Dome. Baked Alaska Sounds Good Bout Now...

 

I'm going to be honest and short here as there is not much to say. This is a tale of two basins today and the Atlantic is quiet, and the EPAC is not. Normally this is the time for the EPAC as it's season begins earlier and there is more to work with in most years. More moisture specifically. Shear at the entrance to the Carib that you can see in that SW to NE angled line of clouds near the coast of South America will shut down most anything that tries to form. SAL is in charge of the Atlantic and July is it's month to party! The EPAC also gets an extra boost from our building El Nino! So this is a good time to enjoy July 4th or go on a cruise as you should luck out and avoid named storms. That doesn't mean something can not try and spin up close in as that is possible. The rainfall signature for Florida and parts of the South is intense over the next week. But the chance of seeing Bertha is very low.

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Rain would be wonderful Rain would be really wonderful in the Carolinas and other places that have been baking in the triple digit heat.  Worth remembering a strong Heat Wave kills more people ....ironically.......than most Hurricanes. Heat takes it's toll, it's a silent killer. It kills crops as well and impacts the prices and availability of basic produce at the market. We don't name Heat Waves, though this one will be remembered as July 4th Heat Wave of 2026. 

I'm not going to post on how hot it is as to be honest, I don't want to hear about it and I can't imagine you want to hear about it either. The Heat is exhausting enough I don't want to open up emails and look at posts with everyone trying their hand at making AI pics in dark, hot shades of red, crimson and the favorite fire orange. We all know it's hot. It's July. El Nino is prone to heat ridges and heat domes and triple digit temperatures in places that usually are happy to have warm summer beach weather. This year even the beaches are hot. 

So I'll get back to y'all when I have something interesting about the tropics to discuss. As always at times such as these keep an eye on the backdoor as areas closer in and more likely to develop. It's early July, it's wait and watch time in the Atlantic Basin.

Sweet Tropical Dreams,

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X