Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Sunday, October 12, 2025

97L ... African Wave Next Possible Invest. Lorenzo and Melissa Next Names Up. Coastal Carolina Storm Delivering. What's Waiting in the Wings???

 


This is the current state of the tropics.
97L seemingly develops & curves fast.
Lorenzo is that you?
Then the next wave may scoot under it ....
...and get further West to create tropical trouble.
Melissa is that you?


Something to think on the next few days.



In this case green means stop... difficult.
Red means Go for development.
If there's no shear there.
And something gets into the Carib....
...it could be trouble.
Some models take the wave over Africa....
...into Carib.  
Taking it day by day here... in real time.


Below is a cam for Buxton ... Live Sunday


This is time sensitive as it's LIVE at 2 PM on Sunday. Enjoy if that's your thing, a lot of people watching. Bit too sad for me, but the ocean is fun to watch. You're choice. Either way it tells the story of 2025 in North Carolina where our beaches have been relentlessly attacked after watching our mountains go through a terrible tragedy last year with Helene just a little over a year ago. Chantal, this year, caused flooding in the Piedmont when it cruised over Raleigh and met more terrain and dips that are up in Durham and Carrborro/ChapelHill in the Northern part of the Triangle. The drama at the beach on Buxton (the Southern edge of OBX) has been not from Major Hurricane Landfalls but waves cranked up by an endless parade this year or Invests and Hurricanes and Coastal Lows in the process of curving out to sea but impacting the area. One thing about NC is that it has 4 incredible seasons and hurricane season can get you even if you are what you thought was "safely" inland. Always good to be aware and prepared. Snow and Ice have made us world famous.


Yes I am in a mood today.
I slept maybe 2 hours.
I was sick a few days ago.... 
...think my husband has it now.
On antibiotics for Sinus issues also..
....they always make me hazy, lazy.

But we have weather.
And I love weather.


System offshore.
Rain has been moving in ...in bands.
Fast moving actually.
Some gusts have pine trees swaying.
Love when they do that on a gray day.


Our Coastal Carolina Low is by Wilmington NC


It's not a tropical storm....
...tho it has a nice solid center.
And wind flow around it
And the flow from the NE 
is bringing in cool, beautiful air.

I'm not covering the Northern Low...
...forecast to give lots of rain to NE
Long Island.
Places in between....
... Beaches up the coast get surf.


As far as models go....
...I don't trust them this year very much.
And which of the gazillion models...
...so little time, so many models.

But you want to see so I'll remind you...
Take them with a lot of Sea Salt
Entertainment purposes only.


The EURO sees a storm in the Carib 10/26.
The GFS sees a storm near the Bahamas.
Same day.
So they agree on the day...
...but not location.


The truth is there is a possibility of a late October storm that could come out of the CAG or it could be the wave that is about to roll of of Africa, not to be confused with 97L that may get a name first and that would be Lorenzo. The storm over Africa IF that was to form (and nothing else close in near Iceland gets a name) that name would be Melissa. I love the name Melissa. I've used it for my Starbucks name as you'd think Bobbi would be easy but alas you can't imagine how much they mess that up.


Wave train over Africa.
We will see.
I'm open to suggestions....

Know what really has my attention.
Stole my attention??
Check this out........


Oh my goodness!
One eye on the tropics.........
....one eye on early winter storms.
It's only October... feels like November.
I know it's FALL....really!

But after the last few days of cool air and rain...
...leaves will be turning fast in Raleigh.
Then it will get warm again or hot.
Then it will get cold again.
Until Winter sets in.
(Please make it snow)

Check back tomorrow.
I'd be happy to have no Major Landfall in USA
But rain from Barry amped up rain in Texas.
Tragic Texas Flooding
And 
Constant battering along the NC 
taking a toll in Buxton.
And many beaches from there to FL

Have a nice Sunday...
..what's left of it.
We will see what we see tomorrow.

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm

Most tropical song I can find
okay it came to my mind.

Know why?
Seen a lot of people arguing on X
And elsewhere....
heard people say you can't show that model
you can't use all CAPPS
you can't go by that model
on and on and on..
You do you.... 
live and let live.
Do the best you can do....
....don't pay attention to others.
You don't like their posts......
....go write your own!


Make love...not war ;)
Give peace a chance.......
Girls just wanna have fun?



























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