10% Yellow in Bahamas/FL Tropical Rains ... Orange Area in MDR African Wave. Wild Card... What's Up in BOC ? Gulf Concerns???

 Friday Morning

10% Bahamas/FL

40% Wave Way down there road.

Tropical Rains around FL & Bahamas now

Orange Concerns down the road in 7 days

African Wave........

Maybe 2 PM there'll be an X there

Still rolling off of Africa.

This is a basic blog today basic info. What we know is something may be forming and heading into the Caribbean Islands by the end of the week. Models show fairly good agreement on a system forming and heading into or near the Islands. Currently the models show Virgin Islands (all of them) are in the Crosshairs as my friend likes to say.  What may impact the Virgin Islands eventually is a question for Puerto Rico as they are all clustered down there together though many models show a curve away from the USA. But........I would not trust anything that far out, though odds currently for that solution.  Could it change and stay low and go into the Carib? Sure and that solution is always there. The area below is what I am concerned on regarding a real named storm vs tropical rains in the Bahamas near Florida that is a common occurence.  Again models change often this is as of Friday.

Best person to follow for the Carib.
He covers this area extensively. 

I'll like to him below.

Understand this "green/red Low" could be ..

...to the North
....further to the East

....further to the South.

Trying to reason with Hurricane Seaosn...

...isn't that easy especially this time of year.

Placement and strength of fronts is the big ???

This is the EURO for Friday.

Below is the 7 day rain forecast.

Bit concerning, will review this Sunday ...

Currently watching the area in the Bahamas.

It's low yellow 10%

They may up that or not to 20 or 30%

It's close in and there's a small closed signature

...on Earthnull as you can see below.

Some maps imply it crosses Florida.
24 hours its a small low to the East of FL

48 hours maps show the Low to the W of FL

That concerns me IF it happens....

vs...the normal 2025 move on up the E coast.

48 Hour down the road.

This is the 24 Hour Map.

As for way down the road....

...it's way down the road.

Orange AOI 40%

Wave watching off Africa in October.

2025 is unique that I'll say

What a wave!!

Low in the water.

Lastly ....this is a wild card.

1. Low is showing now to the W of FL

worried on anything forming in Gulf

2. Surprised BOC is not highlighted.

48 Hour map shows a Low there.

72 hours down the tropical road.

There's a L up in Gulf

Logical as there's rain on radar in LA

Rain in Northern Gulf

Consistent red blob in BOC

(yet no yellow circle??)

Yellow 10% in Bahamas... 

Wave rolling off of Africa

Lots of questions

Very few answers.

I may update later today.

Had to use my asthma inhaler this morning

That time of year in Carolinas.

Hayfever issues.... 

...but soon.

Cold fronts rule.

No more weeds and grasses blooming :)

Love tropical weather

but also love Winter weather.

Stay tuned.

Jerry and Karen may be waiting to form.

Link for Mr Weatherman watching Carib always

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nICi8cPsP4U&t=78s

Sweet Weather Dreams

Whatever your favorite dreams are.

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X (mostly weather)

elsewhere whatever

Old time favorite.

Love Willie

My Daddy loved Willie :)