Don't Judge Imelda By the Past....She May Be a Diamond Someday.... Humberto Has Peaked (??) What's Next? Season Far From Over...

 

Pressure is down to 998 MB.

While she make not win honors for presentation..

..its within range for a TS.

I have not spoken much on Humberto.

Reposting this from X.

Good point.

RI happens "fast"

Obviously but very fast often!

Hopefully Imelda has no surprises...

...and stays within it's lane set by NHC.

Forecast for serious winds to stay offshore.

Below you can see Imelda & Humberto

A rare sight.

You can also see the top of the flow...

...showing where they will both go.

Out to sea, if forecast verifies.

It should... 

Humberto has peaked.

And should.... be turning soon.

This is Humberto on Dvorak Loop.

We use Dvorak to help measure intensity.

Structure, strength.

Imelda is cooking!

Getting there.

Should be align vertically ever.....

......she could surprise.

Remember I said she's have a nice tail?

That tail could tickle the FL coast on her way North.

Follow your local NWS please.... 

She may surprise us!

I'll say this. Papin writes an excellent discussion. It's always very "clean" well put together, logically written as well as giveing life to the story in the most meteorological way.  I have a degree in English, grammar and symmetry is important, but so is content as well as context and he does both very well. It's a good read, easy to comprehend, even for a beginner, well worth reading as on satellite imagery it's hard to discern exactly what is going  on in Imelda. Note below, they do forecast it to become a hurricane.

 https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/282053.shtml

Salient Data is below.
Could Imelda surprise us??

Lastly, I want to remind you the Season is not over.
October is forecast to stay busy.
And again I worry on close in (Gulf)
and.... SW Carib.

Models are modeling.

We say "fetch" they run and find the  ball.
Or in this case the a storm.
Before one has formed they are just a guess.
Let's say a "suggestion" to take with sea salt.

You will start seeing models....
...on possible formation down the road.

But for today.... 

We seem to be safe from landfalls.

But possible rains in Carolinas....
.... time will tell.

Amazingly today it looks like those old models.

Two eyes staring back at us...one stronger.

If models are correct Imelda gets bigger later.
It's the GFS below close to the coast.

But Erin like offshore.
EURO also big but further East.

Thanks for following along.

Thanks for your patience.

Stay aware and prepared!

Hurricane Season is far from over... 

..backloaded season indeed!

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather...elsewhere whatever...