Hurricane Harbor: 45 Days Til Atlantic Hurricane Season - 28 Til EPAC Begins! A Look Back at Winter Storm Patterns. Rare High Snow Totals Along the Hurricane Coast.

Let's talk 2025 Hurricane Season....

Let's talk patterns........

Inspiration for today's blog from Cantore !!

Doing research is like social media.

You have to click on the images....

...go deep to see all the data.

Often while looking ahead........

.....I look back at where we've been recently.

Sometimes patterns remain, get stuck a while.

They evolve into tropical scenarios ....

...after winter storm storm tracks.

Not always obviously....

.....but often enough to pay attn!

Will we have late season cold fronts?
Fronts dangling in warm Gulf waters??

Then going flat and moisture festers???

This Winter was busy at the coasts with snow falling on cities that rarely get to see snow .... let alone huge amounts of snow or at least to take pics of pretty memories before the snow melts fast in the Southern Latitudes. I capitalized that as it's important to remember. Snow in Maine is no big deal, 7 inches of snow in Gulfport Mississippi is a really BIG deal!

That navy blue indigo color is a big deal.

Lots of snow...way above average.

It's also the coastline of hurricane country.

(except for Central and Southern Florida)

Only so far South measurable snow can go.

Great post by Jim Cantore.

So it's worth remembering.

Texas beaches got snow.

Nola got snow.

Gulfport got snow.

Florida Panhandle got snow.

Savannah, Georgia got snow.

Charleston got snow.

Wilmington got snow.

OBX got snow!

Sounds like a list of landfall cities.

Not snow.

Tho.......

Savannah usually gets backdoor impacts.

Helene in 2024 gave Savannah weather.

Savannah had 1.1 inches of snow on the ground.

Zooming in a bit on the SE

Greensboro inland got less than normal.

Raleigh less but it's is an average.

1st real snowfall in 3 years this winter in RDU

New Bern NC got 4.5 vs N/A (basically not often)

Augusta got hit bad by Helene...

2.7 vs 0.8

Same with Wilmington and Charleston... SNOW!

(when I say snow I mean on the ground not flurries)

Asheville 1.9 vs normally 10.2... a snow drought!

Savannah got 1.1 inches vs 0.0 inches.

Remember this is totally not scientific as much as looking at this Winter's data and the storm tracks and areas that were hot meteorlogically vs areas that were not. I mentioned often on X that the Southern Jet remained in place as if it was locked in. I watch, I compare and then I look back at my observations and see where I was right, what resonated and what wrench was suddenly thrown into the pattern such as a Major Hurricane that formed in late June and raged in early July hitting Islands that are normally in the hurricane shadow and and avoid direct landfalling storms such as Grenada!

Who had that on their Bingo Card?

As for 2025...

I'd say the EPAC season begins on time or early.

Been watching waves and convection off of South America.

EPAC begins May 15th!

A month away and looking juicy!!

I'd definitely say the Gulf and the SE coastline and even up into the Mid Atlantic may see hurricane threats this year as there's much talk that storms will come together closer in after the 55 yard line and when that happens there are often less "Fish Storms" that recurve gracefully, greatfully out to sea. Just talk right now, as tropical meteorologists and storm trackers and chasers shoot the tropical breeze. We can talk and post all we want but it all plays out in real time......remember that.