Hurricane Harbor: What's Going on in the Atlantic? Everyone Talkin.... Possible Subtropical Storm or Just a Storm ??? How Early Will 2025 Hurricane Season Start?

If you're on social media.

You have probably seen these models.

It's been 137 days since 2024 Season ended....

...seems longer than saying

46 days til Hurricane Season.

Many are hungry.....

...watching models.

The bottom line really is this:

Often this time of year convection in the Caribbean or near the Bahamas looks as if it may form into some sort of short lived subtropical system that's often picked up by an approaching frontal boundary and swept out to sea. They can, at times, be beautiful to watch and they always amp up the excitement about Hurricane Season being just a month an a half away! Getting closer every day.

Note the sharp line between tropical...

...and "wow it's cold in the Carolinas today"

Models do show something trying to wrap.

But....will the NHC pay attention?

Maybe...

Somewhere some model is always running....

...looking for possible development.

Questions........

The same way the hurricane season usually ends, it also begins. Systems in the Caribbean or out by the Bahamas try and develop into quasi storms; often an early Subtropical Storm in the Atlantic gets a name. Other times not. It's the NHC's game and they make the call. For now.... everyone is talking about it.

I had family in town this week for the Passover holiday. Yesterday we went to Lassiter Mills Falls (whatever it's called) with my little grandchildren and one of my older ones. Took a walk, played by the Falls... picked up various stones as the geology lover in me totally takes over in places where you see so many classifications of stones in one place. Water, wind and rushing water....yes it was awesome!