This Week... Wednesday Specifically But Waves of Trouble for the South... Severe Weather NOT SNOW. Mother Nature Needs to Check the Calendar... We Want Winter Weather in 2022!!

 

We are in a stuck pattern this week.

Possibly next week we get unstuck.

Moist Gulf Air is back in style.

Pushing up towards fronts... 

... not that strong but the clash is troublesome.

Possibly tornadoes and strong winds.

RAIN is the name of the game.

www.spaghettimodels.com

Mike's into Winter maps currently.

Check him out he's got many good ones.

The snow is not penetrating into the South....

I'll be honest I'm in a mood with regard to this winter that seems like an Instant Replay of last year when my kids in Seattle had more snow than they wanted and the South and Carolinas got very little of any winter weather. La Nina is still in charge, though there is some thought it will flip a bit as the winter moves on and La Nina wanes, yet that's more like wishing and wishing doesn't make it so. But, with any given diving cold front in January or February it might just dive enough to change the rain to something wintry.

Euro ... and GFS disagree on exact location.

But this is the general area of concern.

Note arrows showing wind direction ...

...straight up from the warm GOM!

This is not a one day event, as models show several days this coming week when strong, severe and possibly violent weather may visit areas that have already been hit hard this winter's second Severe Weather Season! The images below show you the different possibilities and again the period around Wednesday is so far the area and time we are most concerned with, however other days are problematic so it's best to pay close attention to the weather if you live in this area.

NAM above.

It's a very short range model.

Wednesday January 29th!

I'll update this tomorrow as we get closer to the event, but it is worth mentioning so I'm blogging today on it and that's really a "HEADS UP!!" to pay closer attention tomorrow as weather evolves in real time and we can hopefully nail down the real danger zone with better timing.

Plesant weather here in Raleigh, can't really complain as it's cooler today than yesterday though eating ice cream while watching the sunset in summer clothes was a nice treat! I'd prefer a wintry treat. A small sliver of a possiblity shows up around January 3rd as a stronger frontal systems dips down and then again around January 8th or 9th we may see something to really get excited about. 

Mother Nature seems confused this year.

And something that makes you want to go "huh??" and yeah the time stamp is correct and so that's a real "hmnn" but not going to think on that much.  Someone needs to slap Mother Nature in the head a bit or reboot her because she's not working within the calendar or seasons this year! Note in years like this we tend to get real surprises, sometimes rain other times ice or snow so stay tuned!

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Should be "wake up Mother Nature" check the calendar!! ;)