Will Arlene Form From Invest 91L? NHC Gives it High Chances.

 

35 MPH winds.

Doesn't need much for an upgrade.

We went from yellow to red fast.

Following the trend...

...looks like development.

It also looks like it may stick around a bit.

I'm going to write a longer post today with my thoughts, let's call them conservative thoughts, as this may get a name but it's most likely going to sit and spin until it gets picked up and sent somewhere. This is an interesting, but not rare situation. Actually a typical situation for the name Arlene.  Understand the image below is the National Hurricane Center's FIVE DAY ... it looks like a red cookie more than a five day track for anything. The visible loop is impressive and definitely impressed people enough to upgrade it to red letter status.

Invest 91L 

Spinning nicely.

Impressing the powers that be at the NHC.

It has been upgraded from yellow to red...

I think you need to keep that in mind. 

Everyone loves to hype these systems, and they like to make wild predictions based upon early Atlantic development in April. Do not fall for any of the discussions as to what this means as it simply means something currently is developing in the Atlantic. Even discussion from the NHC is a bit hard to follow. The next discussion is at 2 PM with 70 % chances - - - unless it is upgraded before 2 PM. Proceed accordingly...

Please check often with the NHC to see if they have changed their mind...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

We may realistically have Sub Tropical Storm Arlene in the Atlantic soon. IF NOT... Arlene will show up sooner rather than later this particular year.

Also worth noting a lot of moisture in the Caribbean. Just a random thought but worth noting. And the flow; watch which way the flow is flowing as always. As systems collide is what I call the loop below. 

Swirling about in the middle of the Atlantic.

Seems like everyone else is on the move...

...except Arlene to be.

Will see.

Time will tell.

I'll upgrade this afternoon.

Or sooner if it is upgraded.

I'm on the move today...

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Passover is over.......

Done, done, done.

Had fun at Moshiach Seudah Last night.

Pretty sure my daughter posted some funny Snaps.

And now on with the tropical show.

Sorry for any typos... 

...packing half asleep.

Owe u some music.

Then again someone owes me some...