Invest 99L 60% Red Alert... Will it form in BOC? And... Sneak Peak at Newest Cape Verde Wave

60% chance of developing in 5 Days ...

The Bay of Campeche is an interesting area where systems that look weak over the tip of the Yucatan often blossom into named storms just as they are making landfall. The NHC is keeping a close eye on it and upped the odds tonight to 60%.

However to the naked eye it doesn't look like much tonight. It's parked over the Yucatan and should emerge tomorrow and blossom .... Time will tell.

Models:

These are your typical tracks for this type of BOC system. As typical and boring as this can seem to many who do not live south of the border it's worth noting that this batch of tropical rain worked it's way west across the Atlantic.... into the Caribbean... and now into the Gulf of Mexico. I think that's pretty impressive. The way the world works, the way the atmosphere flows around highs, from low to lows... isobars closer and then further apart. Really awesome.

A lot going on there...keep watching...

This image shows where the real action is going on inside the Cape Verde Wave.

Time will tell if this batch of convection manages to make it's way across the ocean all the way to the tip of the Yucatan where we will watch and debate if it might get a name. Or... it might make it's way to the Leeward Islands like a few have done so far this season... 

It's the way of the world right now... one wave after another takes it's shot and moves over hot water trying to maintain it's convection despite very dry air. 

We'll see. 

Tomorrow we'll know if this African wave can swim and if Invest 99L can get it's act going before moving west into Mexico.

Sweet Tropical Dreams, 

Besos Bobbi

Ps.. maybe if they named a hurricane CAT we might get something worth talking about. Yeah... no NFL football, no hurricanes... I watched Cat Ballou. What's a girl to do huh?