Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Sunday, January 12, 2025

It SNOWED! And... Sleet & Freezing Rain with ICE. A Raleigh Lasagna Storm... A Little Bit of Everything. Long Range Models Smell Snow Storm Down the Road.

 


Ps the sunset in Raleigh is not Miami.

So it snowed! To be fair ...first there was sleet that was net, little balls of sleet the size of poppy seeds (really) then bigger sleet then sleet had a beat and was dancing on the top of the car just before sundown on Friday. I got a few pics and some video and then.........it was Shabbos (something I do from Friday at Sundown to Saturday after the sun goes down) and by then it was dark so no pics! My backyard had snow, with a layer of crusty ice on top of it but not so bad that we lost power or much happened before the sun came out and melted most of it all! 

Saturday morning the trees glittered like they had diamonds in them as the sun came out and fast moving clouds chased the front down to the beach and for a few hours Raleigh had the illusion of a beautiful Ice Storm, a Crystal Palace and then as my neighbor's child said "the trees were raining on us" and there was a waterfall of rain pouring down from the huge Oak Tree :)

Loved it. I still have some snow in the back as it's shady and faces the North and there's snow still at sunset while much of Raleigh has only memories of the first winter weather in almost 3 years.

Now that our big winter weather event is in the books, models are racing on down the road in search of the next big snowstorm promising over 20 inches (yeah really.......no don't bet on it) as the GFS is always in Dreamland ready for the next party. 

Understand for Raleigh to get snow (real snow) with this sort of set up the white arrows have to be in the perfect spot to direct the moisture (snow) to us with the diving cold, icy air. This is like doing a tango and ballet step while on ice skates. It's not easy. Brad Panovitch is extremely good, cautious and this is in the category of "watching the pattern" vs believing anything this far out will verify. If this was a hurricane, the tropical wave has not left Africa but still the Islands would be nervously watching. Okay, many in Miami would be watching in the tropical weather world.



Chick to my South in Fay-ville is adorable.
Smart, sassy and a darn good weather person!
If you're in NC please follow him!
He has dubbed the long range GFS #Club384
It's beyond the 10 day.
Pattern watching as we call it.


This reminds me of when models for Harvey....
..showed crazy totals.
We laughed. 
Some said it was smoking something.
It verified.
That happens once ever 384 hundred times maybe.

I'll be honest. I had to pick a time to go to Denver to see my son and his family, my awesome daughter-in-law and 2 kids and though I knew I'd see snow and winter weather in Colorado but I didn't want to miss it here in Raleigh so this had to be figured out carefully. Plus I had things I had to attend to in Raleigh the 3rd week in January around the time when it is very likely Raleigh could get winter weather if early trends verify. That means how I read the Water Vapor Loop, the pattern and the fact that two weather people in the area I respect both said that it would be a period we could see winter weather BEFORE the the GFS AKA #Club384 as we now call it chimed in with way more than a foot of snow.  If only... 

I saw snow in Denver.
Came home and caught snow in Raleigh.
WIN! WIN!


AccuWeather never afraid to go out on a ledge...



I've lived in NC going on 16 years or as I like to think of it as Sweet Sixteen and to be honest people here never shut up about those few storms that over produced and people had to walk home from Durham or Chapel Hill or whever they were going to college back to North Raleigh. I'd like to see over 6 inches. I have seen over 6 inches here, by the way... of snow with ice on top to be clear! Mind you my son in Colorado gets that often and then the sun comes out and it does try and melt. 

Colorado is pretty. 

California is where he was born, back when I lived in the Southland (not Miami) but now I'm in Carolina I want more snow, more.........lots, falling in big white flakes covering the ground and turning everything into a real winter wonderland not like the make believe one we had this past week. 

I'm 2 for 2 as I've seen snow now for 2 weekends in a row. What's next around the January 20-23rd time frame I'm wondering. Is Accuweather just trying to make me smile or it's seen the long range predictions we are all looking at today. Or do they just throw in a random date (put a snowflake there, there's a chance) or is there some science to it? Do I really care? No I just want snow. Oh and another Northern Lights moment here as well. Maybe after the snow when high pressure digs in and the sky is clear and it turns purple again as if I'm in Alaska!

So that's the story of.......snow dreams in the Piedmont of Carolina, somewhere between our beautiful mountains and sweet, magical beaches.

Ther's a chance.
Honest!

Sweet Snowy Dream.
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on X
X mostly weather
Insta whatever.












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