14 Hours Til Hurricane Season Begins! EPAC 80% & 20% for Amanda & Boris. Atlantic Sees Nothing For Next 7 Days. Stay Aware, Stay Prepared!

 

First things first...

EPAC nothing in 2 days.

Flip it to the 7 day page

Yellow 20% Close In...

Red 80% Far Out!

Let's talk about Amanda & Boris

first two names in the EPAC

I'll be honest, lately the EPAC has better names than the Atlantic. I mean this is literally a writing prompt for me. Amanda and Boris met early one morning over a cortadito and found they had more in common than they originally thought when they were sneaking peaks at each other at the counter waiting for the waitress to notice they were there. Boris looked a bit wanting to hot to trot Amanda, and yet chemistry was in the air and soon they were smiling, flirting, laughing and there was the hope of something more to develop down the tropical road.

As for the Atlantic it's still waiting to see what the East Pacific wants to do as development close to shore in the EPAC can quiet down the fantasy Canes in the Gulf. Also it's waiting to see what the front really has once it gets deep into South Carolina and if it chugs off fast out to sea or lingers around ...hovering over warm waters.

I'll be honest, the season has not yet started and I'm ready to rant. 

1.  The NHC updated their page and now it's more complicated to use ( tho who really uses it I'm wondering) and rather than enabling it to immediately show you the 7 day when you hover over the 2 day you have to go through MORE hoops to get to the graphic forecast for the 7 day. To me this is 2 steps backward. What were they thinking? What were they thinking? In the face paced world of 2026 there are two types of people.

                First person looks at the first picture goes "oh" and moves on to TicToc or Instagram.

                Second person looks briefly, pulls up a new screen and asks their favorite AI:
                            Is anything forming in the EPAC or Atlantic this week?

                                        

That's the response.

It then breaks it down into both basins.

Quick glance.

Got it!

No need to keep clicking on the page.

Because it's 2026

Zoom Earth does a great job.

I'm a huge fan

Okay it doesn't have the cartoon graphic screen.

No I'm not being mean.

Just telling it like it is...

You see everything on one page.

You click on the red...or hover.

Info on the right.

If you want more info.

I do "get" that there is something good about continuity. But as we move forward into the 2020s I think we get jettison the static, cartoon like graphic and make it easier for the average person to use the actual main source of info. If it gets too hard they just ignore it and go back to TicToc or Instagram and that could be good or bad depending on who they pay atten to. But know, it's easy to get all the info against a real screen of satellite imagery of Planet Earth in real time that'll show you all the info on https://zoom.earth/

Note on Zoom Earth you can see the bulk of the dust!

SAL

Saharan Air Layer

Dust in the wind from Africa!

Also goes without saying....

Mike's Weather Page

All on one screen!

2 day and the 7 day!

YAY!

As for models and down the road........

..models still flirting with possible development

EPAC shows development.

(they are open for business as of May 15th)

down the road a bit but logical!

Atlantic is quiet.

The GFS tries to entertain us!!

Tries.......

off of an old draped frontal boundary

BOC in 2 weeks sure...

....very CLIMO but much depends on

What is happening in the  nearby EPAC

Development in EPAC disrupts BOC development.

Usually

Note as per the NHC the job they do balancing the 403,542 models currently out there is amazing and wonderful and they do an awesome job tracking and studying the tropics giving us early warning and that is everything. If you want real graphics go to another site that uses the NHC info but displays it ways that are easier to find, understand and remember when using any AI site it can be wrong but it's fast and gives you just the facts.

Speaking of FACTS if there is one thing I'd like to see from the 2026 Hurricane Season is a clear understanding of INLAND FLOODING in a Hurricane or Tropical Storm. Wind damage is important, obviously, in strong hurricanes. But flooding is the main cause of death in Tropical Storms and Category 1 and 2 Hurricanes. This is especially important in North Carolina where elevation helped create Flash flooding in Chantal where six people died. Also I'll add a mediocre coverage downplaying the strength of the storm locally and otherwise as it was "just a tropical storm" and I'll add it had a wild punch as it was crazy rain here locally. You know if it doesn't bleed it doesn't lead until it bleeds when no one was expecting. This happens with no name systems down by the coast that flood entire beach towns, but it didn't have a name it was just sort of tropical weather. We got to be better! Easily accessible informational and warnings need to be prioritized and people need to prioritize their priorities and not drive into flooded roads at night, stay off the street and plan for the worst and hope for the best.

20 inches of rain.

Washed out roads.

Businesses washed out.

But was only a PTC 8

That's it for me today.

Learn from history.

Knowledge is power.

Woke up to temps in the 50s..

Love it!

For just a few days...

...it'll be awesome.

Stay prepared.

Stay aware!

BobbiStorm

ps not proofing this...

...we are not yet in prime time.

But soon.... soon nuff we will be!

Time til 2026 Hurricane Season begins...

Felt the need for Johnny Cash

Not sure why

But going with it...