December 8 Days Away - GFS Wishing on a Tropical System in the Gulf. EURO SEES NOTHING. I Want Snow..............

December 1st.

We have a odd feature on the GFS...

(has to be the GFS right?)

Is that a V for victory!

A heart :)

A Bat Symbol?

Whatever it is... it's in SW Carib.

And there's a moisture feed near the Gulf.

The Euro does not show that...

...but does show convection in same spot.

And a moisture feed up near the Gulf.

This would be Post Season development should it..

..develop.

Tuesday it's up over Central America

That could bring serious rains to that area.

It's a fast mover.

Wednesday it's up near the Yucatan

Obviously trying to connect with a front.

The EURO Sees NOTHING.

Thursday it's on the move.

It's got a name? A game plan??

The EURO sees NOTHING.

Friday GFS has a system near you know where.

Where no chaser wants to chase this year.

Or for a few years.

The EURO Sees NOTHING.

Saturday GFS has it off the Carolina Coast.
Really this should be named Zippy!

Cause it's like Zipping along...

The EURO sees NOTHING!

Many will say the MJO but we have waited for the cavalry to come many times this year heralded by models and rarely was in there where we thought it would be. 

That said.........there is a high to the North and often when there is a large high pressure dome, things to the South try and spin up so there's some minimal logic for this illogical season. Everyone is pointing to the December Storm in 1925 which is nice but while the Charleston was all the rage in 1925 there were barely any hurricanes let alone tropical storms or tropical depressions. Not exactly a good analog year for 2025 though they both have 25 in their year. Giggling.  1925 was a very, very slow hurricane season but a strong El Nino and known more for the Tri State Tornado Outbreak in March. The Great Gatsby was out but not as popular as Scott had hoped it would be as it was a bit depressing, and sadly he never knew it would one day become the Great American Novel. He continued watching Zelda, writing over her thoughts and stories and life went on far from hurricanes in the Gulf. 

My brother texted me earlier today.

He sent me THE MODEL showing a track across Florida.

Asked "what's the time table" ???

I responded. 1925 wasn't exactly an analog year and few other models are as excited as the GFS.

He sent me a smiling fast like he was just kidding.  (trust me he's not lol he's debating buying water!!)

So what do I think? Let's talk on this tomorrow. If more models of any kind jump on this and some AI models have shown interest then we will talk more on it.

I will say the set up ...if it produced a system ....even a weak one it could possibly help push Winter along as December is indeed Meteorological Winter and IF this tried to form it would be a Ps vs a new exciting trend for tropical development in December 2025. 

One Hit Wonder Weak System maybe............cannot rule it out.

But I'm watching the snow on those models I posted and wishing they got South of the Virginia, NC line. What the EURO does show for later in December is a dipping, diving cold front but alas it's all rain :(

Only thing I will say is this lines up with the odd year of 2025 where things tried to form in the Gulf and yet they took shape off the Florida Coast on the way to slide by the Outer Banks.  Note 1925 TS track and weather map.

This isn't a Hallmark Movie.

Where there's always snow.....

...and happy endings.

Never say never........

........but it's a long shot.

Sweet Snowy Dreams,

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather

Elsewhere whatever......

That's not Bing Crosby