Clock Moving Fast - 23 Days Til Hurricane Season and Meteorological Summer. Watching Patterns Setting Up in the Atlantic. Gulf Blob Watching.

There's a lot going on here. The bright red flash of color in the Gulf flares up goes dim and then fires up again all while moving East or ENE. The flow across the East Carib shows that shear is in place holding fort trying to prevent any early season Beryls from taking aim there. Meanwhile moisture congregates further to the North of the shear... possibly enhanced a bit by it yet wanting to do something somewhere but can it? 

Close in ... is the name of the game in May.

Stalled out fronts are a problem.

Little lows can spin up...

..at their tail end and 

always need to be watched

Short to Medium term we have fronts still on the move and that is normal for May. How deep do they go and do they dissapate fast or do they linger over warm tropical waters warm enough to produce a Tropical Depression or Invest? Later in May they can produce Tropical Storms so let's put a watch box so to speak on both sides of Florida as something can come at it from any direction. Taking this stuff day by day vs model run mania.

Out in the distant Atlantic you can see the big blue swirl I mentioned yesterday and it's carving out ridges and dips in the atmosphere. In May, indeed every May, we see the Tropical Atlantic attempt to rearrange everything from Winter to Hurricane Season. Where will the High set up? When will the High set up? How strong will the High be? The high is always the determinator early in the season for how things will shake out. The waters warm up. But there are many other factors besides water; rising air, shear and frontal boundaries and cut off lows are all factors. 

Takes a lot to get Hurricane Season going, yet we should have learned from last year that Mother Nature has a way of sneaking things in as it did Beryl. 

Speaking of Beryl, let's not forget the 2012 version of Beryl that also slipped in early and gave enough of a punch that I remember well as I was there when it punched through. Watched trees come down on I95 and torrential rain welcoming me back to Florida as it advertised the start of a wild Hurricane Season.  Can something like that happen again? Time will tell.

Speaking of time.

Winter appears to be over.

The Weather Channel showed a cute clip going around of a group of black bears... maybe cubs tearing up Gaylord the Snowman's weather platform online. They turned over the table and why I don't know but they took special aim at the cute thermometer and snow measuring equiptment. We have officially turned over the calendar, flipped the switch to late Spring. I say late Spring as Meteorological Summer is June 1st the same day as the Hurricane Season is 23 days away.

Stay tuned.

BobbiStorm

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