AOI Carib 50% Orange. Waiting on Invest Upgrade IF They Really Believe in This System? Volcano in Iceland Seems a Sure Thing Higher than 50/50

At 50/50 chances of development.

Models show "something" but what?

This very official NOAA mkap shows a LOW

3 days from now.

Canadian shows a broad area of Low Pressure

Sort of anchored at both ends ???

There's a purple blotch in the GOM.

Sort of oozes moisture across a stalled front.

Lots of rain.

Then another front.

We are in frontal mode.

So if we are talking "tropical"

The energy for "tropical"

is limited to a track ENE...

...across Cuba

Maybe.

\

Could something form and ooze up into a frontal boundary?

Possibly.

But models aren't consistent.

But we are at 50% 

So that's the way of the tropical world today.

I'll update Monday ....

I'd imagine they would put up an Invest.

IF

They really believe..........

Stay tuned and have a wonderful Sunday

 BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Did u know there's a volcano about to blow?

Iceland... land of Ice and Volcanoes...