30% chance of Bonnie forming off SE coast as per NHC

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241732
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE MAY 24 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake


my thoughts...


models have been extremely consistent in developing either a tropical or subtropical system. If named it would be Bonnie.


my logic from this morning is the same... North of Savannah..south of Wilmington most likely. Need a floater, an invest...next model runs important.


I'm in transit so this is a short heads up post.


please read my previous analysis for what most likely will happen.


Besos Bobbistorm