Subtropical Arlene Forming in the Atlantic or Just Hype?

Just saying... there is a lot of talk going round in meteorological circles and the National Hurricane Center has drawn a yellow circle around the suspect area and given it a 20% chance for development.

Going to err on the side of caution and not jump to conclusions and wait and see if it is there tomorrow, before jumping all over it. A few models take it out to sea, a few take it west towards Florida.

Storms do form in April, rarely but they can and I remember Ana 8 years ago almost to the day. I remember it, because I was up online with a tracker friend very late at night sort of blown away that a storm did indeed form in April. Mind you, it does not bear any relation statistically to how busy a season it will be IF a storm of some kind forms early. That's what they always say...anyway. Was a fun night, will say that much.

But, that was then and this is now and going to wait and see what develops or doesn't.

Been busy with Passover here, restlessly reminiscing on other times and lost in thought a bit. The kids on the train were almost 2 hours late, due to traveling VERY SLOWLY through the ravaged area to the south of Raleigh where the most devastation occurred. They said every tree in the area was sheared in half and it looked like Miami after a very bad hurricane. Weather warm now. Snow up north, warm down south, severe weather in between and a possible subtropical storm forming.

Fish kills in the Pacific off the coast of California portend to some... a possible shake up it seems. Still watching geology I see on weather sites.

Posting my first "water vapor loop" of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season it seems:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-wv.html

Has a little swirl there and TWC is covering it with both Cantore and Norcross. Talk on the Dream Team ;)

Sweet Tropical Dreams... Bobbi