Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Saturday, June 11, 2005

Arlene Wrap Up... deja vu...

So, I never got a chance to write a post yesterday between work, some problems I had to take care of and......getting ready for shabbos. Could barely follow the storm at work, seriously that was bad.

So... again "so" am so redundant today yet... so is this year's hurricane season

Deja Vu..
What can you say?
This year's season picks up where last year ended and Arlene makes landfall where Ivan did.. Ivan's stomping ground. I'm sure Arlene was just checking out the I-10 reconstruction to see how it came out.. scoping out the area for future storms? Don't know, who knows... time will tell, not Jimmy Buffett. Though... Mobile Bay is his old stomping ground too isn't it?

Beautiful little tropical storm, sort of classic shape... look on radar and satellite imagery. Even now on radar imagery as it moves its way through Alabama it looks like a tightly wound storm.

Think it was borderline hurricane. The last several images it seems were definitely that of a minor hurricane, very visible "eye" like feature on long visible links that I am looking at and this report a friend sent me to look at would also make you think that possibly, when the Best Track team of Best Forecasters get around to it.. they might upgrade it, time will tell... or the best track team.

Shabbos was nice. Just what the doctor ordered... rest, relaxation...most of the kids were away and only the younger ones were around. And, nothing like watching tropical rain come in fast ... blow hard against the windows and move on all day long, off and on.. which is what happens when you are in the long, dirty tail of a tropical storm.

Bobbi..
online looking for ideas for shavous, reading round up on message boards and thinking i may just give up and serve ice cream and cake :)

....................
000
WTNT41 KNHC 112020
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005

THE LARGE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF ARLENE CROSSED THE COAST JUST
WEST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AROUND 1900 UTC. THE MINIMUM PRESSURE
REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT JUST BEFORE LANDFALL WAS 991 MB...WHICH IS
ALSO SIMILAR TO THE PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE PENSACOLA NAVAL AIR
STATION AT THE TIME OF LANDFALL. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
ARLENE HAVE BEEN DECREASING DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THE
INITIAL INTENSITY AT THIS TIME IS 45 KNOTS. THESE WINDS ARE
CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER. SINCE ARLENE IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD AND FARTHER INLAND AT ABOUT
13 KT...IT IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN.

IT IS INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATED
THAT THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH ARLENE HAS BEEN MORE
SYMMETRIC TODAY...WHICH IS MORE TYPICAL OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN
FACT...T-NUMBERS TODAY WERE UP TO 3.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE...THE
HIGHEST OBSERVED IN ARLENE. THIS COINCIDED WITH A CONTRACTION OF
THE WIND FIELD.


FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 11/2100Z 30.7N 87.4W 45 KT
12HR VT 12/0600Z 32.5N 87.5W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 12/1800Z 36.0N 87.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW

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