Welcome to 2026. EURO is Rational & GFS Parties in the GULF. SAL Headed Towards FL & Caribbean. Stay On Top of Any Meds You Need as SAL Amps. Mike's Weather Page Rules.... up the Asthma & Allergies.

As you may have noticed Mike of SpaghettiModels.com fame aka Mike's Weather Page is a very visual person. He sure does love graphics and that's good as he provides them all to us in a visual feast of delicious tropical information that is right there in one spot. Use it as an APP or use it on the web however you prefer. And he's all over social media so he's your go to guy for an eye in the sky on tropical development!   

What do we see from the grid up above?

1. Nothing expected to form in the Atlantic Basin for next 7 days as per NHC. (top center grid)

2. There's a blob down by the Yuke moving along caught in the flow.
3. Another Texas Blob has appeared.

4. Lots of various degrees of rain across the SE!

All of this you can see by a simple glance at his page and you decide what you are going to click on as weather is personal, locational and compelling to the individual. Mike is an individual and we like that about him.  Who wants a boring weather person? Part of what makes us weather people is we are passionate on the weather, the sky, the variety of clouds and changes that come along on any given day. So today is my day to remind you Mike has a page and an APP. I say this as people come up to him this day and say "you're the guy who was talking weather on FOX news" "or I saw  you on CNN" and ironically they forget he literally has a weather page. 

 

I'm a map person.

I love the maps he has on his page.

Highlighting things overlooked here.

This feature is a crystal ball.

Today, tomorrow and the day after.

We have a HUGE HIGH out in Atlantic.

It takes a trip into the Gulf!

Not friendly for tropical development.

You don't need me or Mike to tell you that.

Tho if a huge high does develop...

..sometimes to the South of the high...

something can develop.

But that's not happening currently.

You can see our colorful blobs in motion.

The squeeze play from West to East.

Moisture from Carib funneled North.

Lot of color in the EPAC

But a strong flow West to East there too.

El Nino is showing his face some.

Note how "choppy" that flow is....

...not very welcoming for development.

There are candidates tho.

If you let your eyes sort of go "blurry" 

as I like to say

You see this region below...

being "pulled" to the North.

If that pull let go some.....

One area in early June could try and...

..make a run for it.

As for models...

....many show this set up.

EURO here...

Some show a front comes down...

...the front goes flat

A Low, weak low, tries to form.

Most models show something like this

...or nothing.

Flat signal and lots of blobs.

GFS of course sees OMG

GFS down below..

..if you know you know!

These models are up on Tropical Tidbits.

Sometimes I wonder....

they trashed the sometimes useful NAM

...and they kept the GFS????

Mets in Carolinas liked the NAM...

...it sniffed out CAD & other local complexities.

The GFS party model is aging badly.

Of course if this verifies...

..I'll publically apologize.

But I  think I'm safe to say...

...this won't verify.

We may have concentrated rain there tho.

vs all those closed isobars on the GFS

Nice image above.

You can see blobs with potential

But that big, bad dry HIGH is pushing West.

(again map at top shows it gets into the Gulf)

Shuts off the flow of moisture some.

SAL is the guy!

Orange Red is SAL

Saharan Dust Layer.

You will see many beautiful pictures of sunrise and sunset down on tropical beaches in Florida and probably Myrtle Beach and wherever the SAL goes the sunset colors go. Unfortunately I have to remind people who have breathing problems of any kind... keep your inhaler with you as the Saharan Dust can seriously do a job on your asthma. Your allergies may bother you. If you have more severe breathing issues adjust your schedule and stay on top of your medication. 

SAL is the hero of June and July in the tropics sucking the moist life out of tropical waves.

SAL is he big bad boy when it comes to health issues and shutting down the tropics!

SAL is a photographer's best friend.

Again weather is locational and personal. Know your dangers as the NHC says for the hurricane season as well as the Saharan Dust Season!

That's it for today.  Below is the famous graphic we use to show when hurricanes happen. Note it isn't a straight line and often around June 1st there's some little bit of activity somewhere that gets attention. 

June climbs a bit into July.

August it climbs quickly.

But this year....

El Nino will give us more blobs than hurricanes.

But it only takes one or two so...

Stay tuned. 

Pay attention.

Use the quiet time wisely.

Until El Nino clamps down....

...close in development is a possibility.

Well it always is but more so this year.

El Nino forecast to rule later in the season.

Earlier there may be an open door...

...if something close in avoids the SAL

GFS likes the Gulf

AI models off shore the SE.

Check back tomorrow.

Sweet Tropical Dreams,

Bobbistorm

Old song but a good one.

I always think of it for SAL