96 in Raleigh! What Season Are We In Again? 2026 Hurricane Season May Break All the Rules! Mother Nature Doesn't Care What You Want or Expect!! Lots of Surprises. Close In Concerns Due to Piling Up Warm Water! This Movie May Have a Surprise Ending!!

 

So much to talk on today.

But really the talk is the pattern.

The phase we are in ....

Moving towards Hurricane Season.

One tropical wave at a time.

One huge Bahama Blob...

...making it's move towards the Carolinas.

A colorful flow at 8 AM into South Texas!

The black hole out in the distant Atlantic.

I am not expecting development.
i'm just enjoying the show 

Upper Level Low?

Or a possible Subtropical player?

Can't rule it out but very low chances. 

2% maybe.

Check back tomorrow....

..but I did play with Earthnull.

Again just playing with parameters.

Not sure what kind of movie theme 2026 has but it reminds me of an old movie my ex-husband loved called  American Werewolf in London! It was kind of a horror movie, but it was also a comedy, it had a good soundtrack and it started the Dr. Pepper Man and if you know you know. No not one of the Beatles and I'm more an 80s and 90s girl so just saying. 

What kind of Hurricane Season are we going to see really? 

Depends on who you talk to...

No Season it's all cancelled!! El Nino OMG ...GODZILLA EL NINO!!

Why can't it be a King Kong El Nino I wonder????  

Others insist there is a strong chance of development in various regions from close in to far out in the Atlantic. Some say we will have two ITCZs!  One flowing along East to West at a high latitude and the other down low where storms make a deep dip before bouncing back up.

A quieter season by the numbers in theory, though the possibly intense where storms finally form once they find a sweet spot.  

Yesterday's high temperature in Raleigh was 96 degrees. Mother Nature didn't consult me or ask what I wished for and that is actually the most likely theme to remember for 2026. Mother Nature doesn't care what you wish for, nor what kind of hurricane season you want nor how much ACE you hope for of if you are a tracker who doesn't care if they are all cruising the Atlantic going nowhere nor if you are a chaser. You do not get a vote. And often all the best scenes in a movie are in the trailer and the movie is rather mediocre and to make it worse you saw all the really good scenes in the trailer already so you feel a bit cheated.

1906 is the record we beat yesterday!

It held in Raleigh for 120 years!!

Oh it was also an El Nino year.

2 of the most memorable historic hurricanes...

are on the books.

Long trackers.

Scribble Scrabble trackers.

Not all El Nino years are equal.

@WeatherProf on X

 I realized Philly is flirting with 98 degrees today.

..I stopped complaining on the heat in Raleigh.

Flip flop temperatures.

Oh an ocean temperature anomaly is out there.

He does a good job with his graphics..

..just the right amount of info & color.

Sums it up fast and see the facts!

We have an area of record warm water...

...off the East Coast of Florida.

It's also warm from the Isle of Youth in Cuba

up to Key West...

and up into the Gulf.

Again "close in concerns"

Also I'd say from OBX to Cape Cod...

on up to Newfoundland they could get landfalls.

As always time will tell.

Speaking of time...

...it's Tuesday Morning 13 Days til June 1st!

So let's take a look at that trailer...

...for the movie that had the best soundtrack.

But wasn't what most people expected!

I think it may be a wild and crazy ride this season ..

..in some way at some time ..some place.

And boringly slow and strange at other times.

Stay safe.

Stay prepared!

If Mother Nature asked me...

I'd be in Seattle!

Sweet Tropical Dreams!

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather

Elsewhere whatever!