Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Wednesday, May 06, 2026

May. So Much to Say. Prepare for Hurricane Season. Best Advice. El Nino No Guarantee U Won't Get a Hurricane! And Why?


Short on time today and yet I feel it's important to try and get across the idea that even in a weak hurricane season, your home town can be rocked and set back in time while it's being put back together for a long time to come.  The 1921 Hurricane Season, far from a Super El Nino, but never the less there were less storms and yet one of the most impactful hurricanes in Tampa Bay made landfall in that year. Infact, Tampa Bay is more likely to be hit in a quiet year, than a busy year so keep that in mind. 

Odds are a strong El Nino there are less hurricanes. Less hurricanes lower your chances of being impacted, but they do not promise you won't see a named hurricane.

Why?

Honestly Mother Nature, even in 2026, is hard to pin down to exactitudes. Friends in Montana and family in Colorado had Spring like weather throughout the depths of Winter. They sent pics of a "dusting of snow" recently the way people in the Carolinas are excited to see a dusting of snow in the Piedmont areas. And, then in May suddenly Mother Nature delivers a knock out punch with heavy snow on top of trees that not only budded but were filled with leaves.

El Nino can shut down the SW Carib, yet enhance offshore development near Florida (actually on either side) and close in development ups the ante for landfalls. 

Heat Domes 


can create a set up where low pressure forms to the South in the hot water of the Gulf. The water in the Gulf and close in becomes very hot during long, reinforced heat waves. And, early in the season frontal boundaries dangling in hot water have a way of trying to twist and spin. Big messy tropical rains early in the Season can overwhelm coastal towns and the Miami area has horrific drainage in such set ups. 

SAL gets a vote. 

MDR water temperatures get a vote.

The Loop Current gets a vote. 

Surprise events such as Denver's May Snow Storm after mild, summer like hiking weather for months should be a lesson to how fast the atmosphere can flip, sort of the way the stock market as been this year. Sudden spikes after sudden drops. The UP and down nature of 2026 has been a signature. 

So you do what you need to do. You have one job. Buy Supplies on sale when you have money in small amounts. Because if you don't and suddenly you are in Cone close in you may not have the money to buy them as you decided to take a cheap cruise to the Bahamas or blew it on Disney. 

I know people who buy supplies at places such as Target that allow long term returns. I'm not saying that's the coolest thing to do, but it's a thought and it's better than nothing.

Remember Droughts are most often busted by a wet hurricane.


African Wave Train has begun...
...have you begun preparing?
Start with making a list...
To Buy
To Do

Something to think on....
..Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
@hobbistorm on X
Jimmy's song is based on a short story...
...by F. Scott Fitzgerald.
He wrote a Fantasy Gene Story.





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