Analog Years. Going into El Nino. 2026 Hurricane Season Forecasts Due Out Soon. What Years are Similar to 2026?

I love weather and more specifically hurricane history. How one year can show us clues as to the type of Hurricane Season we may be having this June that is coming too soon in 73 days. So far 2026 has been an interesting year. Winter was stronger in the Carolinas than it was in Colorado. My son in Colorado felt a bit like he was back home in Florida or maybe California. It rarely snowed out West though that made for great hiking weather, in shorts on a sunny day. I have a friend in Montana and there were no snowy scenes this Winter from Montana. A few scenes but not that build up of snow I am so used to... 

An imbalance of weather across wide areas sets up vastly different parameters and makes forecasting what will be difficult. And, yet many will make predictions soon... forecasts.... and a forecast is a prediction based on scientific data.  Often they are highly promoted in the news in April and then come June and July the conditions that were forecast are not always there. 

Maybe it's kind of like the Market in a way. So much volatility and every time some report comes across the wire and is blasted across the world on websites, social media, WhatsApp people begin to panic as the market is down. Then it drops, it dives and then everyone breathes a sigh of relief as over the  next few days the market makes up the loss and then some. Everyone is happy, birds are singing, butterflies dancing and suddenly something else happens and the ticker begins to drop. 

It's been a lot like this March in Raleigh. We had a heat spell back in Feburary then fronts began to dip again and some people cried like they were losing money in the market because it was obviously to soon to plant their tomatoes and their dream day at the beach turned into a cold, windy, frozen experience.  It was 79 degrees early in March and the next day the weather dove down to 31 degrees. Snow fell in Roxborro NC near the border with Virginia after the day before when it was close to 80 degrees and sunny. Clearly the snow melted fast.

El Nino has been predicted by many to come on strong with many comparing it to every wild nasty animal or creature they can think of as it's competitive out there on YouTube and X for attention.

As for me I have the windows wide open and I'm doing my Spring Cleaning and there's lots going on. Sat down with lunch and read through some discussion online.

Larry Cosgrove is one of my favorite meteorologists with a great sense of music and knowledge of global weather and weather history. I follow him online. Phil Klotzbach is coming out with his first forecast on April 9th I believe. Some are releasing there's late March or the 1st week in April. We will have much to talk about.

But this has been a record breaking year for "warmest temperatures" in normally cold places and coldest temperatures in places that are often warm. 

Stay tuned.... 

lots of drama may be on the way!

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X