SW Carib Trying to Find Spin........ Orange for Fall Color and 40% This Cool Sunday in Carolinas.

 

This is a FWIW post as I've been off and back from my vacation and there's lots of talk on various models doing various things with regard to the area of interest in the Caribbean highlighted in orange for action in the 7 day period currently on Sunday afternoon at 40% chances of development.

Models change on every run, but I'm going to post some models and talk on possibilities. 

Canadian model above.

another view presented on X

every model run is a bit different.

I'm showing various runs.

There is no definitive idea.

Other than it forms....

...and that's why it's at orange.

Using Windy.com below

Euro shows a slug of moisture.

Not very organized...

..perfect spot for a November system tho.

GFS shows this on Nov 4th.

Carib system flirting with another low.

Strong high to the North...

Icon SW Carib and other area to NE

Nice graphic via Mr. Weatherman on YouTube.

check him out.

I'm tired and under the weather in that my allergies are off and my throat hurts :( and not feeling so great. When I was a kid my mother would say "change in the weather" haha you wonder how I became obsessed with weather? Teasing, always loved it but true she was worrying on the weather often and the weather did change, the heater came on and I'm watching football.

Will do a way better anaylsis in the morning.

But........truth is.........it's one of those areas that will develop when it wants to and depending on when that it there may be another low nearby or no low nearby. It doesn't appear currently to be threatening the USA but never say never. November takes systems out of the SW Carib towards Cuba and the Bahamas usually and South Florida keeps an eye down to the South just in case.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter 

Twitter mostly weather, Insta whatever.

Ps........Jamaica better pay attention too!