Hurricane Harbor: 2 PM Update! Unstuck 20% YELLOW CIRCLE in ATL ---------Which is More Stuck? 2024 Hurricane Season or Astronauts on the Boeing Starliner? Just Wondering...... State of the Tropics July 26th! Curiously Countng Days as Models Tease Us With Different Storms Every Day... Yet Nothing is Happening. But We Got a Great Wave Train Going So.... Eventually We Will Get to the Debby Storm

And just like that!!

Everyone on X posts at the same time.

It's a long way off.

The cone can change depending on motion.

After it's formed.... just an X right now.

Zero in the next 2 days.

Look at that... has a little curve to it.

Rudimentary left hook!!

It's a complex wave....

...give it time.

It survived the SAL

Stayed alive....

Please keep reading if you haven't done so...

***

7 AM

I'm beginning to know how they feel.

Not really.... but kind of sort of.

So they went up there for 8 days and have been stuck in space going on 50 days, depending when you read this blog. It's been 55 days since the much balleyhooed 2024 Hurricane Season began amid clickbait articles, beautifully done segments on weather shows and headlines in the old school newspapers. No, we do not get them anymore, but I do stand at the market and stare wondering why anyone would want me to spend $6 for a thinned down version of the newspaper that barely would wrap any fish caught at the pier in Wrightsville. But I do look to see what the headlines are and what they felt was important to put on the front page. Spoiler Alert, I studied Journalism for my degree in English and so.... I'm always a little curious what's selling in the world of newspapers.

We did have Beryl and that was a whole lotta of hurricane excitement condensed into a short period of time, and it'll take YEARS for the islands originally hit by that extreme Cat 5 energy to recover, rebuild and get back to any sense of normal.

I'm sure the first few days on board the Boeing Starliner were exciting and then suddenly everything changed.

If you are still reading this, know this is true in life often. Something, suddenly happens or changes and it changes everything totally. The same way we keep saying "when someone flicks the switch" on the Hurricane Season.......... And, that is true too!

During Beryl's advancing track towards the Islands, as it inched along looking as if it would survive as I thought it would I'd wake up at 6 AM and grab my phone half asleep to check on how it was doing. It way exceeded my expectations. It exceeded everyone's expectations.

Most meteorology people who study the atmosphere on Planet Earth have a quiet fascination with astronomy and geology and unless there's a press confernce explaining that they haven't found a way to "safely" bring them back yet and they aren't really stuck....because they have calculated they have enough time up there to figure out a repair and ......... the story gets buried behind the very fast moving river of news that has raged the last few weeks. That is a long run on sentence, much like their unexpected space trip that over produced how many days they'd be up there in their Starliner.

It's been 55 days since June 1st and we are now stuck in the doldrums of "nothing happening for 7 days. I have food, way too much food in the house and lots to drink so really I'm okay. I have awesome AC thankfully. I have a plethora of things to do as I wait this period out and a myriad of models promising landfalls up and down the coastline if only one of the waves would develop and does what one of the models suggest it could do IF it develops.

Something will develop.

Something wicked this way will come.........

So let's look at the tropics and take it apart in real time this morning, in reality without looking at models that often promise what they take away the next day.

Nice Center Grid from Spaghetti Models.

Up on top.... you will see a very, colorful and bright ITCZ as tropical waves leave Africa hot and heavy, excited to begin their journey. And, then they begin to peter out (my apologies to Peter) and they limp along hoping to find a way to keep on going. Truth is with every week that passes by, things are looking way better for those waves than those astronauts. Time is on their side and eventually one of them will spark up and twist and turn and everyone will be more exctited about what's on the satellite imagery than what's on the ensemble models. That said many will still live and die by the models. Note to the North of the waves is darkness, like black as the pit from pole to pole in a way that even William Earnest Henley could never imagined! You can Google that if you wish. Note over near Central America there's a flurry of convection.

On the bottom grid you will see we are back to that diagonal look on satellite imagery. Everything runs from SW to NE as it did a while back before Beryl and before the astronauts were launched into space on their beautiful Starliner. Remember this is why Beryl did not limp into the borderlands of Tex/Mex and was lifted up along the Texas border creating flooding in Houston, tornadoes further inland and flooding storms even further inland along that path that many pointed out looked similar to the eclipse path. Again, many meteorologists are obsessed with astronomy also.

Not alluding to anything mystical or magical here.

Just when you're hot your hot?

Sorry... being a bit silly.

Again patterns.

Always important to watch patterns.

Current Mimic is pressing down again...

...showing the High trying to set up again.

Can it? Will it?

Moisture has been the name of the game..

..in the South.

Almost like Mason Dixie Line there.

Gulf of Mexico Juicy.

Down near Central America JUICY.

Bahamas juicy ..ready and waiting.

ITCZ is a solid colorful line, looking fine.

Just nothing has sparked just yet.

Models perking up again.

In a week or so... should see something.

Something could be an Invest...

..not predicting the return of Beryl.

Stay tuned.

If the NHC takes their crayons out I'll post something. Otherwise, unless I'm in the mood to write I'll probably take the weekend off. But, who knows with me as I'm moody and restless. Good mood, playful but definitely restless. Probably not as restless and moody as the astronauts "not stuck" up there according to NASA and waiting, while the river of news runs restlessly along every day like a raging river.

Sweet tropical dreams,

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Twitter mostly weather. Insta whatever.