IF Today's Pattern Persist It Poses the Threat of Early GOM Tropical Storms

So much to say and so little time. So, going to let this loop tell the story for me with some facts that are not carved in stone ...yet ... they point to a story unfolding as the Hurricane Season unfolds.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TtdW--jhAQ

One of the greatest songs ever written...or should I say lyrics ever written. It's a good version. I know, because my friend sent it to me and they only send the best.  Then again they know I like Sting.

See the storm forming across the Southeast... starts down at the bottom of the front in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico... drags wicked weather up through Florida starting at a line around Tampa... the low spins it's way into the Atlantic off the SE Coast.

That pattern has been carved in stone for the last several weeks if not months and as that pattern continues it's way into May and early June it lends a danger zone to Florida for the beginning of the Hurricane Season. There is a danger in years like this one of storms forming close in ..off shore.. rather than far away and staying out to sea.  If a storm forms in that part of the GOM.. it makes landfall, plain and simple though usually as a Tropical Storm or Category 1 Hurricane that comes earlier than usually expected.

Look at Alma from 1966... an early June Hurricane.

The first week in June... a Major Hurricane on the maps.

Happens... read on and find out how and why...

http://www.wunderground.com/data/storm_radar/stormwalletold/atlantic/atl1966-prelim/alma/Alma.pdf

snippet that is important to read :) in case you didn't click...

Seems to happen often with the name Alma 

Yes, it formed down in the Carib... ziggled around a bit south of Cuba and then moved north...

Why did it move north like that and cross North Florida where it did?

Let's give equal time to Wikipedia..

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Alma_(1970)

Now.. look at the satelite imagery.. 

Does it look familar?

Alma 1970

Look at the image at the top of the page...further north but way too similar...

Here I'll post it below again in a different form...

 Similar... but different.

Note today's system looks like a cold front, but feels like a Gulf Tropical Storm wanting to form...if only this wasn't April... and it was only late May or Early June.

Note also this system today reaches far...far....far down into the Caribbean where the water is way warmer than it is off the coast of the Outer Banks.


Watch that loop...

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=default&animate=true

Listen to the music.... song that goes on and on with the little coda and then the really fast beat...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tRwYQgk05DY

If the pattern today persists into Spring... the Atlantic Hurricane Season may not be waiting too long for Spring to finish....before it begins early and gets a head start before the El Nino to rival 1997 gets going later in the Hurricane Season. Sometimes.. Mother Nature gets the last laugh...

Time to start checking those tropical sites online if you ask me..

http://www.spaghettimodels.com/

Besos Bobbi



Ps...to the little stalker who enjoys leaving spam on specific posts... thanks for reminding me how well I write somtimes ;) you are soooo annoying.