Mango Moments on the Funktop Loop

There's something to look at in the tropics this morning, lots of color but not a whole lot of circulation to discuss.

Loop the loop and see what you think for yourself:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-ft.html

Mind you, Forecaster Avila does not think that it will develop so I wouldn't "worry" too much about it just yet. The text below is the official word on tropical cyclone formation out of the NHC in Miami.

TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Off the record, there has been a lot of talk about the MJO moving into our part of the world and a Kelvin Wave enhancing the chances for development over the next few days.

A good look at the Water Vapor Loops shows us which way the waves are traveling.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-wv.html

Note: If there is development in the Eastern Pacific off the west coast of Mexico then the chances for anything in the Caribbean will be next to nothing. IF the wave in the Caribbean makes it north into the Bay of Campeche ...then it might be something to pay attention.

For now.. it's a beautiful day in Miami. The trees are filled with mangoes that are falling, plop, plop, PLOP on the ground and people are trying to give away mangoes faster than they can fall. My kids seem to be allergic to mangoes for the most part. Over exposure it seems. They "smell" it seems. Actually, it seems they smell HORRIBLE. And, they are "slimy" (???) and it seems I made them eat mangoes for breakfast, lunch and dinner if you ask the older kids. The younger kids barely remember getting any as I would let the local neighborhood Haitians go up onto the roof, knock them all down in a crescendo of mangoes banging onto the roof and then they would gather them up for $50 or $75 that I used to help pay their summertime electric bills. Everyone has an opinion on mangoes, they either hate them or love them. People up north eat Mango Sushi and in North Bay Village at Da Vinci's they make the most incredible salad with slivers of mangoes.

Love them or hate them, they are a sign of the hurricane season starting.

Some old timers swear if you have two or three crops of mangoes in one season it foretells a busy season, a strong hurricane. It's one of those only time will tell sort of things. So, if you think you are having a bumper crop this year, you might want to blame the strong Bermuda High, as we have had less afternoon boomer sort of thunderstorms that knock down all the small, baby mangoes and leave us a smaller, more manageable crop. As for me, I am in love with Mango Chobani Greek Yogurt. It's my summertime treat of choice.

As for the tropics, keep watching because I am a big believer in the MJO and Kelvin Waves to ignite a sleepy tropics.

Besos Bobbi
Ps Shear is real strong right now, so it will be really hard for any of these areas to maintain development. But, hey.... you can watch...

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/mjo.shtml

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelvin_wave