Maybe Something Coming Together in the Bahamas... Bahama Mama Dancing??

First of all I just want to say this is one of the weirder Yellow Dot Specials from the National Hurricane Center. A little Top Heavy if you ask me. Wouldn't you say? I mean.. well.. Does that mean if this forms it would be a Top Heavy Ana or a bit of a Flaky Bahama Mama a little over the top and drunk on too much Myers Rum?

The point here is... something IS going on. Is it too little too late or is this the development the models have been insistent on for the last few days?

Check out this water vapor loop courtesy of the LSU site:

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/animate/goes/index.php?region=tropics&channel=wv

Starts off looking like a hobby horse rocking back and forth in the Ocean and suddenly some metamorphosis starts to happen and it's no longer a hobby horse but a round, ball of intense convection. And, it seems to be just sitting there trying to come together. Shear is dropping over the region I believe and water temps are high. Even the winds are picking up in the Bahamas and pressures are not that high ...

If you want a really excellent kick ass discussion which is one of the best you can get online, on tv or on the radio... Check out www.hurricanecity.com and hit the little Tropical Update in the upper right hand corner. Best thing is you don't have to wait til 10 minutes before the hour like on TWC... you can watch it now or as soon as you finish my blog.

No, I am not paid by Jim Williams to promote his tropical update..I promote it because no one does it better than Jim. Really...

http://www.hurricanecity.com/update.htm

Excellent discussion.

Or..you can follow the yellow bouncing balls from the NHC and read their well written but detailed discussion for yourself. But, Jim explains it in a way you can understand all the mumbo jumbo.

Discussion below from the big boys at the NHC.

As for me, I went to the library here and got my library card and checked out Jay Barnes "North Carolina's Hurricane History" to read. Otherwise... writing and watching and doing what I am doing while I sit unemployed trying to think what I am going to do next with my life. I also organized my novel and started putting it back together into some form I can work with and ... finish writing it.

http://www.amazon.com/North-Carolinas-Hurricane-History-Barnes/dp/080782416X

Gee... I so love the way Jim says "North Carolina" lol.. check out his update and he explains what may happen if it continues to develop as it seems to be doing.




000
ABNT20 KNHC 221746
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 22 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THIS ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION
OF THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN BAHAMAS ARE MERGING WITH THE ACTIVITY OFF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/ROBERTS

(Thank you Mr Beven and Roberts for all your hard work.. relax and hear a Bahama tune)