CMC Model Develops Something? Weddings and the HEAT

Hi.

Tropically: CMC model possibly develops something. The discussion is below but after you decode it.. basically says that something might develop and hit Florida in a few days. A possibility, a mere one but a possibility. Important to watch future model runs and see what they do and if any other models jump on the proverbial bandwagon.

Also..shows timing is somewhat sketchy in this model run.

Watch the area east of Florida for possibly development.

Right..just when I was going to firm up plans for going down to Key West.

DEEP CYC OFFSHORE THE SOUTHEAST DAYS 2/3...
THE CAN IS THE QUICKEST TO RETROGRADE THIS SYS INTO FL /LATE FRI/
WHILE THE ECMWF/UKMET HOLD IT IN PLACE NE OF THE BAHAMAS AS
ANOTHER UPR CYC UPSTREAM EAST OF BERMUDA WEAKENS THE STEERING
PATTERN ARND THIS SYS...SIMILAR TO THE NATE/OPHELIA INTERACTION
EARLY IN THEIR LIFE CYCLES LAST SEPTEMBER. THE NAM
PROGRESSION/NCEP ENSMEAN ARE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE. THE
GLOBAL MDLS HAVE A HISTORY OF RETROGRADING H5 CYCS TOO QUICKLY IN
THE SUBTROPICS...WHICH IN COMBINATION OF THE CAN QUICK PACE FOR
ALBERTO THROWS ITS SOLN OUT OF CONSIDERATION. FOR NOW...WL FAVOR
THE SLOWER COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE NAM/NCEP ENSMEAN AND ECMWF/UKMET
SOLNS SINCE ORGANIZING TROP/SUBTROP SYS TEND TO MOVE SLOWER THAN
THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE.

In other areas of my life..

I danced for 4 hours, four... last night at Laz's son's wedding. I know they served chicken because I ripped a few pieces off and thought..this is good and then... realized later it was gone. Not sure what the side dishes were. Buffet was good, soup and salad was good... what I had of chicken was good and some incredible Israeli Merlot that I had a lot of... You need that if you are going to dance for 4 hours.

They gave score updates at the end and when the Heat won everyone went crazy.

Okay..we were already crazy but this was so cool. Sruly and Adina Laz got married while the Heat were winning the championship.

Yes..danced with my daughter Miriam. She was so beautiful last night and always.

And..........well let me put it this way.. Mary and Magda got soused and boogied all night. We all had fun, was wonderful beyond words.

Enjoy the happy times.. we missed Devorah Leah a lot. She died two years ago, Laz's beautiful daughter and my close friend. But... last night was a night for love, laughter, dancing and happiness... and we were happy :)
Bobbi
http://www.drlaz.com/