Franklin Spins A Guessing Came Off The Florida Coast

Round and round and round he goes... where he'll stop.. nobody knows.

Reminds me of a scene in Cat Ballou. Can't remember the whole song and not going to google it. Sitting here waiting with a friend for the 11pm to come out.

Watched the Redsox game. We won! Very cool.. tedious.. slow.. no big surprises, we won. Nuff Said. Oh..and had on my Redsox Necklace my friend sent me :) My son, Zalmy makes me wear it when they are playing. My gosh.. oh my goodness.. I don't know who is worse.. they created a monster. Either way..we won!

As for Franklin... is the NHC going to win this one.

They have been so on the money the last few storms I hate to see them blow one; especially one so close to home. The semi-colon was for my nutty friend;;;;

We are waiting..for the 11pm ... or waiting for the 11pm discussion that comes out after everything else..while people bite their nails or eachother waiting for that discussion. Explain why they can't have it ready or do they do this on purpose??

Reminds of those wierd extra-tropical storms Christopher and Eduoaurd, Eduaord, oh heck.. have that mind block on Ed's spannish name.. they did funky things out there. Looked funny... sort of went baroclinic... hybred storms.

This isn't exactly Jeanne but it's a similar scenario.

This is July..a very, very hot July.

To talk of strong troughs or even shortwaves is really foolish and it seems to be that although the trough did tug at Franklin a bit.. it stopped moving north.. is really moving East and wants to go SE and its tearing itself apart over the decision.

What I don't believe is this storm will fall apart. It has managed to hold on for days through the most adverse conditions around and is still with us and ONLY with us because it danced a bit here once before and ended up falling south and then the southern part developed. Will this be a Deja Vu dance?

Don't know.

Had a wonderful shabbos today. Hot... AC struggled to work. There were tons of dragon flies everywhere today. Looked like a horror movie about to happen. walked through them like walking through some sort of special effects scene on the way home from my brother's house where we ate lunch.

Last night had the older two boys home for a meal with their girlfriends.. nice meal. Went well.. 2 kids who live here and the rest was like date night. Nice night.

I was in a good mood. Still am. Good mood going strong.

Okay..it's out.

They are first off annoyed. You can tell that but the title .. "Franklin weakens a little" It's their way of saying "Bad, bad, boy" It has looked the same all day.. funky and strange and not real together but still windy and now when it't not doing what it was supposed to it gets a reprimand in the opening title.

That storm is not going ENE at 12. Not from where I sit. Might go ENE at 12 if the NHC gets its way but without models to verify a change in forecast they are not going to break away and do their own thing. Waiting for discussion then "we" are going to bed lol. Friend online..

Anyway..here is the advisory.
Hold onto it here.

Either it verifies and the models were right.. or its to be looked back on as a poor forecast by Mr. Avila.

Time will tell..

Good discussion at HurricaneCity.com tonight.. loved going on after shabbos and reading through the posts with my friend, while watching the Redsox game on the computer. Good thing I can multi-task huh?

When you have a chance, good blog by a friend from HurricaneCity.com..wish I could do a fancy one with graphics but with working on my novel again and work and life and well.. put it on a "to do" list and will get around to it on Island Time. Key West Island time.. still waiting on that tomorrow maybe..

http://stormchasingmikey.blogspot.com/

As for Franklin.. will see what tricks Frankie Boy has in store, huh?

Going to read the excuses.. I mean discussion and try again tomorrow.

Happy Birthday to my ex-husband today ... no he doesn't read this but well.. still it is his birthday and I'm happy for him. Hope he only gets good things in his life.

Lastly.. respect NHC a lot. We are always complaining about their logic and all but they are the best...they are the ones who have to adjust and adjust they will if and when Frankie doesn't go quietly out to sea.

New ballgame tomorrow... batter up.. buy your popcorn, peanuts and some beer if your stadium allows and be back here tomorrow... after the 5am.. the proof will be in the pudding by the 5am if you ask me.

Now..will I be in Miami or Key West...that remains to be seen.

Bobbi :)
ps.. I say the upper level low over South Florida is having an influence and part of Frankie's circulation is looking the wrong way and twisting funny. It will get its act together and then... we will see which way he goes.

As said online..for anyone in the South Florida or Central Florida area to ignore a storm this close to home is about as stupid as stupid can be... because it's way too close and steering currents way too erratic for anything to be a sure thing.

000
WTNT31 KNHC 240240
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2005

...FRANKLIN A LITTLE WEAKER...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST OR ABOUT
500 MILES... 800 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

FRANKLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES
...130 KM FROM THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...30.3 N... 72.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA