Hurricane Harbor: 8 PM UPDATE EDOUARD Tropical Storm! NHC Raises Possible Winds in TS Edouard to 60 MPH. Tropical Storm Warnings Posted Texas & Louisiana

Surreal couple hours with everyone online asking why it looked like an "eye" was visible at times, and yet it had not been upgraded to Tropical Storm. One loop and image after enough. In truth we did NOT need an "eye" like feature ....there are minimal hurricanes that never get an eye... but hard to believe it was not a Tropical Storm especially as at times on loops an "eye" like feature was forming. So we now have Tropical Storm EDOUARD! Done deal on that one, coming in on the last few hours of August. It'll be curious what the 11 PM advisory shows. Ps note as Josh shows, this is not just an "eye" like feature but an eye wall like feature forming!

5 PM Tropical Depression 5.

TD5 Looking better.
Spiral bands.
Obvious center
Consolidating.

Spreading out it's arms a big.

Nice banding...

Note they extended warnings in Louisiana

Tho still headed towards Texas.

Let's say the State Line....
...then inland towards Houston area

I can see it wants to do Dallas...but..

NHC stops the Cone just before there.

Truth is the barometric pressure needs to drop some, and when Recon goes back in they need to see real TS winds before they upgrade it to the E name. Not much to add as it's a wait and see situation. The NHC did say that they are expecting the winds to eventually be stronger and put 60 MPH into the updated advisory. Small storms, once pulled together as it is doing currently can become stronger quickly just prior to Land

all. This is a close in storm ....on MIMIC you can see the consolidation of the precipitation that will move inland.

About as close as it gets. Everyone in the Cone and area where this is moving should pay attention to all updates and expect surprises as what it is tonight is not what it was this morning. NHC taking it pretty seriously by upping winds closer to Hurricane strength and the old rule is you always prepare for a stronger storm then forecast...just to be safe.

I'll update later tonight but for not making hamburgers for dinner with onions & peppers fried with a bit of bourbon in them ;) and sweet potato fries so .... stay tuned. Note the important facts below.

11 AM

PTC 5 Forms

when I heard PTC 5 was upgraded.
This was the song playing

Can't make that up... Choosing Texas :)

As Close In as you can get!

Pressure is high, won't lie.

Close in, very problematic.

In Houston area problem is from

FLOODING

remember that....

Harvey was a TS during flooding.

Tropical Storm Warnings Posted.

Interactive Cone below.

Shows timestamps...

And a reminder Louisiana has TS Warnings also.

This is called the Sabine River.

A beautiful area... prone to flooding in a storm.

Cities expected to have TS winds.
Cameron, Louisiana has a chance at 50 MPH
not a big chance but surprised me.

So while Edouard is chosing Texas...

... Louisiana getting some too!

Link below to wind probabilities at 11 AM

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAPWS

AT5+shtml/311455.shtml? wind probs

NHC says Edouard as of 11 AM advisory.

Advisory tops it out at 45 MPH.

NHC usually begins conservatively.

Good post on X by Ryan Hall.

Says it all...basically.

Models. Note not one makes it a Cane.

Just saying.

Some keep it alive longer but we will see.

Super El Nino years are know by the plethora of short term tropical storms, often close in and often small in size as well. Small core, though they can have big impacts as the rain will fall across a wide area that has many bayous where small towns and big ones like Houston were built in. Ryan mentions 9 inches, could be more. NHC waited til this morning, when many who are very wise expected the PTC to go up earlier. NHC makes that call, so it's on the NHC and they do not take the decision lightly. Whatever what was done has been done, hopefully people along the coast were getting good info from local weather people and online. But in that neck of the wood people go out fishing and doing things and are busy in those final days of summer and well I sure hope people are prepared.........should the concerns on flooding verify. Nuff said on that, will update later. Especially as many were paying more attention to Dolly's remnants. Regarding those remnants here are some models. Will go into details in another post should she look like she can make it off the North Coast of Haiti where I believe she is currently.

Models...not as excited.

My thoughts.

Should it get into this area:

Then it has a chance.

note the 86 degree water

Old Bahama Passage....

on North coast of Cuba is hot.
There's a spot... where Dolly can get her groove back.

But can she?

Regarding Dolly.... her remnants are out there spread across a wide area near Haiti. She definitely took the harder road. Reminds me of the Scarecrow in Oz where they had to put him back together again. What will be will be. Watching. I have seen crazy things in the region on the North Coast of Cuba between there and the Bahamas and seen many a system that looked dead in the water come back to life and seen many not. Then again her Remnants may have a chance further up the road so we will see soon.

While not looking great.

She is very visible still in some ways.

Convective ways ... for now.

Stay tuned.

Will update should PTC be upgrade to Edouard.

And with later info today that is relevant.

BobbiStorm

10:30 AM

NHC Forecast Edouard to form

Edouard Choosing Texas

will update soon

I do so love Zoom Earth....

97L candidate to be PTC

or Edouard should Recon call it.

(recon is out there as I type)

Listening to Mike....

..have to be somewhere this morning

getting ready.

NHC will prob call it PTC at 11

when I'll be out at appointment

My bottom line this morning is that this should get the PTC tag. PTC means POTENTIAL Tropical Cyclone. We have all known "that kid" with incredible potential that did not live up to our expectations. Though we also remember that kid who early on had so much potential and he exceeded even our expectations. I taught school once upon a time, before being the Children's Room Librarian at the City Library....before getting stuck on the Reference Desk all day as I was the librarian least likely to go postal (they do) and tell a patron off. And, then I moved onto Academia and ran a College Library. I say this as ....I always wonder what happened to that cute little Haitian kid who learned English in less than 6 months here when no one in his family spoke English and got As .... always figured he'd go far in life. But you never know. TWC is in place in Houston, that's a good measure of the potential Invest 97L has for some sort of tropical weather trouble.

As I have an appointment at 10:30 I'm guessing I'll be watching on the phone at my appointment should they upgrade at 11 AM. Either way.............will update this blog later today with whatever info the NHC puts out eventually as the potential for an upgrade today is there. Either way the dangers are there with a name or without a name.