Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Sunday, October 13, 2019

October... Everyone Wants Something Else... Rain, Tropical Action, Tornadoes and Snow ...Dreams of Winter to Come. From Baltimore for Sukkos Holiday


Listen to the video first....
...then keep it in mind while reading below.
It's a prelude to tropical discussion.


Low chances on the Caribbean System....
...and a Mid Atlantic Wave.
Melissa sailing slowly across the Atlantic.
Invest 94L off the coast of Africa.

Another view of where we expect development.


Beautiful view of the Earth.
Note the huge Melissa leaving.
The Big Huge Low picking Melissa up....

Invest 94L off of Africa.


Another view of the huge Low Pressure System 
Over a large part of North America.


The tightly wound wave coming off of Africa.
Invest 94L
Looking like the Nestor name may get used here.


Models show the possibilities.


Most likely this is a classic Fish storm.
But never say never even if it gets the name Nestor.


Olga comes after Nestor.
Remember that.... 
...amazing Nestor could get used before November.


So there we are Sunday evening.
I'll be offline until late Tuesday evening.
On vacation in Baltimore by friends...
....for the Jewish Holiday of Sukkoth.
More on that down below.


It's that time of year....
...rare, really to see such a wave come off Africa.
So it may steal the N name and leave the O name.
For something developing closer in later in the month.
Besos BobbiStorm...
Have a good week....
... keep reading if you didn't read this previously.


Summing it up again here on a video.


New wave, old wave.
It's all tropical rock and roll to me...


* * *

Sunday Morning.




NHC watching stuff
But nothing expected to do much.
And then there's Melissa.
Spinning up in the North Atlantic.
It's that kind of Mid October.

GOES16-TAW-13-900x540.gif (900×540)

Priorities this time of year are all over the place, in between and everywhere. Die hard Tropical Weather people look for development in all the regular places and even Africa if models show possible short term development. Winter lovers are praying for snow while enviously watching snow falling in South Dakota and severe weather people are eyeing Texas for a system forecast to slam into the area bringing cold weather mixing it up with tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico that disappointed hurricane people but is feeding the dreams of Tornado chasers.


The much awaited rainfall for the South.


Some Tropical Discussion.


Cranky discussing down the road.
As always... good discussion.


But this time of year it's complicated.
Does it go this way or that way?


Whispers of a Mid Week Storm Coming...


What you have here is a pattern.
Look West towards Alaska to see what's coming.



 

Yes some models develop something.
And then promptly drop it.
NHC is watching it.



I'll update later today and then I'll be off 2 days.
I'll be back online Tuesday evening.
I'll update this afternoon around 5 or so.
Have some family here in town to see...
... so I'll update then at the top.
Then I'll be back Tuesday evening.
But not promising any tropical action for a while.

Cold fronts promising some rain.
Caribbean Convection 
Westbound tropical remnant waves.
Models don't spin anything up just now.


Everywhere you look someone wants something.... they want the leaves to start turning colors, they want rain in the  Carolinas and everyone seems to want an early Winter. Spoiler alert on the leaves turning maybe next weekend we see some colors in the South as we are enjoying a nice cool down but the real colorful show is up in New England this year. In the Carolinas leaves are shriveling up, turning a dead red then falling every time the wind blows though there are some yellows on Oak trees and a few early Red Maples but it hasn't arrived yet. The lppp drive up to Maryland, except for a random yellow tree, was the same as we had in North Carolina. New England though is filled with color. My brother went to Montreal on a cruise and it's definitely fall there. It's his 2nd anniversary and he and his wife took a trip up the coast before it's too cold for Miami folk to travel Up North. He says he is going to a Chabad Temple somewhere up there near the port.... so guess I'll get an update later this week.


I'm in Baltimore for first days Sukkos that Jewish Holiday that often comes up in the  middle of the some Major October Hurricane and I go off line to sit and dine with fine wine in a Sukkoth a hut we make outdoors... to commemorate wandering in the desert but really is one of those holidays that come during the Fall when you commemorate the harvest, nature and family. In Miami my family built a big sukkoth on the patio by the lake and the star of the Sukkoth are the two fans that keep the wind moving as it's warm there, up here they worry on needing a heater at night though I'm fine with boots and leggings. And an added bonus this year is that I don't have to go offline leaving friends hanging with some dangerous hurricane headed towards landfall. Not this year.... 


Up North Sukkoth....
....down in Miami Sukkoth with 2 fans.
I had a friend in Miami who built a wood one...
...a wood hut so he could put an AC in it.


So that's a look at my life today
 in mid October with nothing tropical going on.

Again most desired substance in the South is Rain.

I'll be back in a bit.
Chow for now, 
BobbiStorm



posted by BobbiStorm @ 9:46 AM

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