Invest 94L should be Dusty for All the Dust It's Running Around with ... Coastal Yellow X Compelling in a Home Grown Year
Not much more to add to the last few posts other than for now the area off the SE coast looks worthy of an Invest. So far, no Invest but that could change fast. I'll put my thoughts out there this morning in that it has a small window of opportunity to develop. It looks more "rooted" than yesterday and yes the "rooted" is my non meteorological term I made up after years of sitting with experts discussing the slow transformation on the Water Vapor Loop from a mess or blob to an Invest to Tropical Named Entity. My blog...my words, my grammar :)
Seriously, it's there. It's stealing the thunder from the messy area of convection on the Gulfside in the NE GOM. As temperatures climb today the convection should explode there again. Should being one of those words best not used in hard data discussion. These are merely thoughts I am sharing with you regarding the possibilities of a yellow 10% circle.
Model discussion is almost not important.
Invest 94L is so far away it doesn't really matter right now.
The Yellow X off of Savannah is moving parrallel to the coast.
The close location to the coast of many beach cities is compelling.
Normally would warrant more attention.
It should warrant more attention as this is the year of Home Grown.
Sorry Invest 94L . . .
Makes you look more like a fish storm for now...
So, keep watching to see if there are changes sooner rather than later.
Note, neither are in the most favorable areas.
Both are dealing with their own devils.
A lot of shear, dry air and DUST.
Those clouds in the top left of the image above...
Are dust moving west bound with the Invest.
If this Invest gets a name they should drop the Danny
Hype Happening on Coastal Low Forming and IF Danny is in the wind... Tropics Take Staycations This Summer SE Coast
Still watching the area off the SE Coastline to see if consistent rainfall will favor pressure drops and if a low pressure center will form. There is some model support, though some are still standoffish. The NHC has yet to blink. It's close in and therefore an excellent candidate for this Staycation year that the Hurricanes are all doing so far.
As the discussion said earlier today, the area is drifting South and will merge with a stalled out cold front. When push comes to shove and steering currents collapse things sometimes start to spin.
Join in the discussion on Facebook.
Post your thoughts, read other's thoughts.
We are all watching.
Most of tropical tracking is watching, waiting . . .
Watch this loop and if you see color converge off Carolina.
Watching the Tropics From the Tropics... Storms, Sunsets, Key West
Good morning from the tropics! The deep tropics, the real tropics . . .
My younger brother had a big birthday and all he wanted to do was wake up in Key West. So, we drove down the yellow brick road to our ancestral home and did what any good ole Conchs would do on their birthday.... We hung out watching the sun rise the sun set and looked at a lot of old documents in the Florida Room at the Key West Library :) Okay, there was some drinking involved and a lot of praying for it to rain or something. It was about as hot as I have ever seen it in Key West in July. Normal for August but not July. Soo soooo hot and that's pretty much from a local. Barely a breeze and 92 in the shade and "feels like 102" most every afternoon.
So, I was on a brief hiatus from the tropical discussion while I just soaked in the tropics.
Let's take a quick look at the tropics.
The short of it is this... nothing is happening today.
That's the official NHC statement.
A picture being worth a thousand words.
Area close in at end of old dying front is being watched.
A wave out in the Atlantic is there but so is SAL
SAL shows it's face best at sunset.
Little pieces break off and make it close in the the Florida Keys
This is moments after sunset.
The red shows darker as it gets darker.
No, it doesn't always look like this...
...but when SAL shows up for the sunset party it does.
Officially there's nada happening.
NHC says NO.
Others say maybe.
Some models see development off of an old stationary front that is hanging off shore near the Carolinas that could turn into something. That's vague, but it's possible. There are tropical waves in the Caribbean but they are West Bound and SAL is doing it's job in the Atlantic inhibiting development as is El Nino in the Pacific causing higher than normal shear across the Caribbean.
So, we go down and watch the sunset. Catch some great local storms popping along the way and drive back again, up and down the Overseas Highway.
Pics below. Keep watching, something will pop up just like the random storm yesterday and while you got time, mow your lawn and go fishing!
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm